{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a89486cc-ceb2-4ed7-b099-27a7d87a0ad2", "symbol": "SWK", "name": "Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 94.499, "architecture_energy": 76.355, "architecture_maturity": 35.14, "architecture_confidence": 78.698, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.58, "rotation_up": 74.07, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 63.84, "rotation_down": 17.9, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1599.966667, 1571.597757, 1493.839548, 1456.888863 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1695.0, "trend_reference": 1432.116258, "distance_from_trend": 0.183563, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1548.65967, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.094495, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.699009, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.220124, "excess_performance": 0.274791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.183563, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073884, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.094495, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.190444, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.21699, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.262809, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.220124, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 131.166667, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51, "relative_activity": 0.328608, "balance": 131.166667, "dry_up": 0.091817, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027568, "annualized_volatility": 0.399789, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.427562 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1432.116258, "fair_value_reference": 1548.65967, "structural_low": 1187.339355, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.042776, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.043347, "worst_return": -0.249219, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.08498, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.018899, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.010238, "worst_return": -0.361688, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.095971, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.093831, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.220124, "worst_return": -0.361484, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.242812, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.190011, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.069517, "worst_return": -0.55514, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.085393, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.006649, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.146688, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.047129, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.051748, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.054422, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.060547, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.048108, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.057801, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.14185, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.057722, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1540.833618, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.6, "trend": 1571.445874, "fair_value": 2908.175891, "relative_strength": -13.722479, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.5, "energy": 61.975, "activity_lines": [ 1540.833618, 1540.833618, 1540.697304, 1546.373977 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 1540.833618, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.6, "trend": 1564.878467, "fair_value": 2896.319449, "relative_strength": -12.568256, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.5, "energy": 61.975, "activity_lines": [ 1540.833618, 1540.833618, 1540.727596, 1544.398993 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 1541.639282, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.6, "trend": 1558.337915, "fair_value": 2884.463726, "relative_strength": -11.183681, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.0, "energy": 60.4, "activity_lines": [ 1541.102173, 1540.980102, 1540.830831, 1542.89969 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 1541.639282, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.6, "trend": 1551.797363, "fair_value": 2872.608003, "relative_strength": -8.875706, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.97128, "energy": 60.389948, "activity_lines": [ 1541.317016, 1541.111938, 1540.926444, 1541.822359 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 1541.639282, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.6, "trend": 1546.183667, "fair_value": 2860.75228, "relative_strength": -5.561992, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": 14.555768, "energy": 50.094519, "activity_lines": [ 1541.478149, 1541.229126, 1541.014433, 1541.166999 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 28, "typical_volume": 2.0, "trend": 1538.912292, "fair_value": 2848.577773, "relative_strength": -7.777927, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.830132, "energy": 76.974295, "activity_lines": [ 1525.008789, 1532.289784, 1536.358576, 1537.665404 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.0, "trend": 1537.334473, "fair_value": 2836.403266, "relative_strength": -4.820974, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.319749, "energy": 77.659982, "activity_lines": [ 1511.801074, 1524.239981, 1531.931907, 1534.632929 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.0, "trend": 1535.730155, "fair_value": 2822.886712, "relative_strength": -1.044151, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.834576, "energy": 77.842058, "activity_lines": [ 1501.855005, 1517.079719, 1527.734427, 1531.702249 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.0, "trend": 1534.125838, "fair_value": 2808.470864, "relative_strength": 1.055549, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.33362, "energy": 94.301154, "activity_lines": [ 1495.224292, 1510.808996, 1523.766134, 1528.875074 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.0, "trend": 1532.521521, "fair_value": 2794.055016, "relative_strength": 4.79505, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.999981, "energy": 88.099956, "activity_lines": [ 1491.908936, 1505.427812, 1520.02703, 1526.151403 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.7, "trend": 1530.917204, "fair_value": 2779.639168, "relative_strength": 3.35533, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.333005, "energy": 88.564146, "activity_lines": [ 1491.908936, 1500.936169, 1516.5209, 1523.531236 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.7, "trend": 1529.312887, "fair_value": 2765.838986, "relative_strength": -1.21016, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.996453, "energy": 68.091381, "activity_lines": [ 1491.908936, 1497.334065, 1513.247745, 1521.014573 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.7, "trend": 1527.708569, "fair_value": 2752.038804, "relative_strength": -1.166268, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.64406, "energy": 67.578354, "activity_lines": [ 1491.908936, 1494.6215, 1510.207565, 1518.601415 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.7, "trend": 1526.104252, "fair_value": 2738.238622, "relative_strength": -3.752593, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.248611, "energy": 66.960601, "activity_lines": [ 1491.908936, 1492.813124, 1507.400359, 1516.291762 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 1491.908936, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.7, "trend": 1524.499935, "fair_value": 2724.438441, "relative_strength": -4.118117, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.313458, "energy": 64.671426, "activity_lines": [ 1491.908936, 1491.908936, 1504.826129, 1514.085612 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 1559.353516, "volume": 29, "typical_volume": 3.15, "trend": 1525.14377, "fair_value": 2711.066151, "relative_strength": -1.507313, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 5.188885, "energy": 29.252285, "activity_lines": [ 1514.390463, 1504.171587, 1508.908166, 1516.33423 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 1559.353516, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3.15, "trend": 1525.787606, "fair_value": 2697.693862, "relative_strength": -2.285269, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.618512, "energy": 63.510663, "activity_lines": [ 1532.375684, 1515.207973, 1512.902013, 1518.541311 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 1559.353516, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.85, "trend": 1526.431441, "fair_value": 2684.812567, "relative_strength": -6.744253, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.201062, "energy": 64.271661, "activity_lines": [ 1545.8646, 1525.018093, 1516.80767, 1520.706853 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 1559.353516, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.85, "trend": 1527.075277, "fair_value": 2671.931273, "relative_strength": -6.845226, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.881581, "energy": 81.718341, "activity_lines": [ 1554.857211, 1533.601949, 1520.625137, 1522.830858 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 1559.353516, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.85, "trend": 1527.692607, "fair_value": 2659.049978, "relative_strength": -6.681483, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.333207, "energy": 75.966476, "activity_lines": [ 1559.353516, 1540.95954, 1524.354414, 1524.913325 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 27, "typical_volume": 4.2, "trend": 1532.721639, "fair_value": 2647.017088, "relative_strength": 3.365264, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 98.634786, "energy": 99.474086, "activity_lines": [ 1603.470541, 1571.154697, 1540.600365, 1535.494743 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.2, "trend": 1537.750672, "fair_value": 2634.984198, "relative_strength": 4.337396, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 98.472285, "energy": 99.460821, "activity_lines": [ 1638.76416, 1597.717206, 1556.127884, 1545.751708 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.2, "trend": 1542.779704, "fair_value": 2622.951308, "relative_strength": 4.49287, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.448617, "energy": 94.938384, "activity_lines": [ 1665.234375, 1620.647066, 1570.936968, 1555.684219 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.2, "trend": 1547.808736, "fair_value": 2610.918418, "relative_strength": 2.045545, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.01601, "energy": 93.001561, "activity_lines": [ 1682.881185, 1639.944278, 1585.031457, 1565.292276 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.2, "trend": 1552.837769, "fair_value": 2598.885528, "relative_strength": -0.152897, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.33291, "energy": 88.565625, "activity_lines": [ 1691.70459, 1655.608843, 1598.411348, 1574.575879 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1557.866801, "fair_value": 2586.852638, "relative_strength": 1.655478, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.32958, "energy": 88.064313, "activity_lines": [ 1691.70459, 1667.640758, 1611.076643, 1583.535029 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1562.895834, "fair_value": 2574.819748, "relative_strength": 2.150732, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.977457, "energy": 68.045237, "activity_lines": [ 1691.70459, 1677.266291, 1622.79053, 1592.169725 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1567.924866, "fair_value": 2562.786857, "relative_strength": 3.180225, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.57583, "energy": 67.412555, "activity_lines": [ 1691.70459, 1684.485441, 1633.553009, 1600.479968 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 1691.70459, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1572.953898, "fair_value": 2550.753967, "relative_strength": 5.124124, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.309369, "energy": 83.977503, "activity_lines": [ 1691.70459, 1689.298207, 1643.36408, 1608.465756 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1578.009815, "fair_value": 2538.726247, "relative_strength": 6.208086, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.585523, "energy": 80.79898, "activity_lines": [ 1691.973429, 1691.85123, 1652.300555, 1616.179125 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1583.065731, "fair_value": 2526.698527, "relative_strength": 3.736489, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.312785, "energy": 76.741847, "activity_lines": [ 1692.188501, 1691.983205, 1660.281781, 1623.566305 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1588.121647, "fair_value": 2511.794896, "relative_strength": 2.987491, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.10315, "energy": 71.488575, "activity_lines": [ 1692.349804, 1692.100517, 1667.307758, 1630.627297 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1593.150708, "fair_value": 2496.891265, "relative_strength": 1.563183, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.946624, "energy": 67.356139, "activity_lines": [ 1692.45734, 1692.203165, 1673.378488, 1637.362101 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1598.179769, "fair_value": 2481.987634, "relative_strength": 0.275297, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.333333, "energy": 88.566667, "activity_lines": [ 1692.511108, 1692.291149, 1678.493969, 1643.772449 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.8, "trend": 1603.20883, "fair_value": 2467.084003, "relative_strength": 2.869533, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.333333, "energy": 88.566667, "activity_lines": [ 1692.511108, 1692.364468, 1682.654201, 1649.858342 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.35, "trend": 1609.895569, "fair_value": 2451.938371, "relative_strength": 4.035541, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.0, "energy": 88.1, "activity_lines": [ 1692.511108, 1692.423124, 1685.859185, 1655.619779 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.35, "trend": 1616.582308, "fair_value": 2436.578624, "relative_strength": 0.40206, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.666667, "energy": 87.633333, "activity_lines": [ 1692.511108, 1692.467116, 1688.430085, 1660.949814 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.35, "trend": 1623.269047, "fair_value": 2421.218878, "relative_strength": 1.523152, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.333333, "energy": 67.166667, "activity_lines": [ 1692.511108, 1692.496444, 1690.366901, 1665.848446 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.35, "trend": 1629.955786, "fair_value": 2405.859131, "relative_strength": 0.412258, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.5, "energy": 65.125, "activity_lines": [ 1692.511108, 1692.511108, 1691.669634, 1670.315676 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.35, "trend": 1636.642525, "fair_value": 2390.170785, "relative_strength": 0.579461, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.5, "energy": 65.125, "activity_lines": [ 1692.511108, 1692.511108, 1692.338283, 1674.351503 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 1692.511108, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 1643.329264, "fair_value": 2374.482439, "relative_strength": 4.37815, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.5, "energy": 65.125, "activity_lines": [ 1692.511108, 1692.511108, 1692.372848, 1677.955928 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 1443.612549, "volume": 136, "typical_volume": 6.8, "trend": 1641.719385, "fair_value": 2357.19859, "relative_strength": -10.430396, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -57.022969, "energy": 64.589176, "activity_lines": [ 1609.544922, 1647.256825, 1668.698948, 1665.070979 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 1501.168091, "volume": 35, "typical_volume": 8.55, "trend": 1642.028023, "fair_value": 2340.279232, "relative_strength": -2.992575, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -66.839869, "energy": 68.343236, "activity_lines": [ 1562.357153, 1616.992613, 1651.687918, 1656.003153 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 1501.168091, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.55, "trend": 1642.336662, "fair_value": 2324.687215, "relative_strength": -1.633347, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -61.132801, "energy": 66.391947, "activity_lines": [ 1527.925586, 1590.207366, 1635.584206, 1646.915416 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 1501.168091, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.55, "trend": 1642.6453, "fair_value": 2308.293256, "relative_strength": -2.65848, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.664661, "energy": 70.431976, "activity_lines": [ 1506.25022, 1566.901083, 1620.38781, 1637.807766 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 1501.168091, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.55, "trend": 1640.705786, "fair_value": 2291.862438, "relative_strength": -2.001281, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.326511, "energy": 88.550676, "activity_lines": [ 1497.331055, 1547.073764, 1606.09873, 1628.680204 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 1501.168091, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.55, "trend": 1638.766272, "fair_value": 2275.02518, "relative_strength": -1.807655, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.2939, "energy": 88.107911, "activity_lines": [ 1501.168091, 1530.725408, 1592.716968, 1619.677772 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 1501.168091, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.55, "trend": 1636.826758, "fair_value": 2258.689686, "relative_strength": -6.406624, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.845862, "energy": 67.7284, "activity_lines": [ 1501.168091, 1517.856017, 1580.242522, 1610.80047 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 1501.168091, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.55, "trend": 1634.887244, "fair_value": 2242.271576, "relative_strength": -4.138387, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.233251, "energy": 66.585128, "activity_lines": [ 1501.168091, 1508.46559, 1568.675392, 1602.048298 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 1585.839233, "volume": 136, "typical_volume": 15.35, "trend": 1635.770101, "fair_value": 2227.527342, "relative_strength": 2.78116, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.393235, "energy": 52.311797, "activity_lines": [ 1529.391805, 1517.948879, 1566.079498, 1598.88391 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 1585.839233, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.35, "trend": 1632.241256, "fair_value": 2212.560698, "relative_strength": 3.792585, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.565548, "energy": 35.05235, "activity_lines": [ 1551.970776, 1529.371657, 1563.991565, 1595.662564 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 1585.839233, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.35, "trend": 1628.71241, "fair_value": 2197.476498, "relative_strength": 2.145542, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.090832, "energy": 39.18921, "activity_lines": [ 1568.905005, 1542.733924, 1562.411593, 1592.668885 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 1585.839233, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.35, "trend": 1625.183565, "fair_value": 2183.031943, "relative_strength": 0.172572, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.635733, "energy": 38.807334, "activity_lines": [ 1580.19449, 1553.510252, 1561.339583, 1589.902874 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 1585.839233, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.35, "trend": 1621.65472, "fair_value": 2168.255299, "relative_strength": 1.237644, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.403395, "energy": 28.946463, "activity_lines": [ 1585.839233, 1562.747103, 1560.775533, 1587.36453 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 1585.839233, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.35, "trend": 1618.125875, "fair_value": 2153.895072, "relative_strength": 2.277765, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.20137, "energy": 48.000428, "activity_lines": [ 1585.839233, 1570.44448, 1560.719446, 1585.053853 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 1977.34082, "volume": 55, "typical_volume": 18.1, "trend": 1627.647082, "fair_value": 2142.04447, "relative_strength": 31.290777, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.109226, "energy": 84.671633, "activity_lines": [ 1716.339762, 1647.784488, 1598.457185, 1608.229011 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 1977.34082, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.1, "trend": 1637.16829, "fair_value": 2131.351781, "relative_strength": 28.26618, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 67.613539, "energy": 88.657474, "activity_lines": [ 1820.740185, 1716.46681, 1634.838591, 1630.789897 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 1977.34082, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.1, "trend": 1646.689498, "fair_value": 2120.724873, "relative_strength": 27.095785, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.345135, "energy": 98.02048, "activity_lines": [ 1899.040503, 1776.491446, 1669.863666, 1652.736512 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 1977.34082, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.1, "trend": 1656.210705, "fair_value": 2109.763962, "relative_strength": 25.024016, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.311993, "energy": 94.159174, "activity_lines": [ 1951.240714, 1827.858396, 1703.532409, 1674.068855 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 1977.34082, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.1, "trend": 1665.705029, "fair_value": 2098.803051, "relative_strength": 24.819485, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.33319, "energy": 88.566332, "activity_lines": [ 1977.34082, 1870.56766, 1735.84482, 1694.786927 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 2063.052002, "volume": 134, "typical_volume": 24.8, "trend": 1678.056392, "fair_value": 2088.615678, "relative_strength": 30.001785, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.696786, "energy": 97.364794, "activity_lines": [ 2005.911214, 1921.742565, 1774.963869, 1720.422216 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 2063.052002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.0, "trend": 1690.407755, "fair_value": 2078.428305, "relative_strength": 27.803654, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.029691, "energy": 75.093433, "activity_lines": [ 2028.767529, 1964.240873, 1812.318438, 1745.260642 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 2063.052002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.25, "trend": 1702.759118, "fair_value": 2068.240932, "relative_strength": 30.101014, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.780933, "energy": 72.913835, "activity_lines": [ 2045.909766, 1998.062586, 1846.723294, 1769.302207 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 2063.052002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.25, "trend": 1715.110482, "fair_value": 2058.053558, "relative_strength": 32.12036, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.52885, "energy": 70.369201, "activity_lines": [ 2057.337923, 2023.207704, 1878.452513, 1792.546909 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 1808.908081, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 16.75, "trend": 1718.990381, "fair_value": 2046.237057, "relative_strength": 12.705971, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.586252, "energy": 61.2259, "activity_lines": [ 1978.337362, 1993.468239, 1883.301912, 1798.598367 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 1808.489502, "volume": 179, "typical_volume": 25.7, "trend": 1722.856327, "fair_value": 2031.952056, "relative_strength": 15.213571, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.616574, "energy": 37.756117, "activity_lines": [ 1910.426123, 1959.596873, 1886.646017, 1804.372504 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 1808.489502, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25.7, "trend": 1726.722274, "fair_value": 2017.667055, "relative_strength": 14.758626, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.121621, "energy": 48.538733, "activity_lines": [ 1859.485718, 1928.79553, 1888.526687, 1809.897225 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 1809.307129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25.7, "trend": 1730.615474, "fair_value": 2004.837729, "relative_strength": 15.707083, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.738865, "energy": 43.221143, "activity_lines": [ 1825.788688, 1901.212871, 1889.021791, 1815.22528 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 1809.307129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25.7, "trend": 1734.508675, "fair_value": 1992.008404, "relative_strength": 11.795789, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.475455, "energy": 45.754917, "activity_lines": [ 1809.007983, 1876.685369, 1888.049566, 1820.302161 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 1809.307129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.9, "trend": 1738.401876, "fair_value": 1979.179079, "relative_strength": 10.685184, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.874947, "energy": 52.974869, "activity_lines": [ 1809.143604, 1855.213026, 1885.610012, 1825.127867 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 1809.307129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.9, "trend": 1742.295076, "fair_value": 1966.349753, "relative_strength": 14.578641, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -8.560893, "energy": 63.498238, "activity_lines": [ 1809.252621, 1836.795841, 1882.106326, 1829.7024 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 1809.307129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.9, "trend": 1754.484896, "fair_value": 1953.520428, "relative_strength": 14.606026, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.423066, "energy": 61.542948, "activity_lines": [ 1809.307129, 1822.992199, 1877.538506, 1834.025758 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 1809.307129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.9, "trend": 1764.756197, "fair_value": 1940.477379, "relative_strength": 14.913624, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.390518, "energy": 36.996805, "activity_lines": [ 1809.307129, 1813.8021, 1871.906554, 1837.562676 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 1809.307129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.9, "trend": 1775.027498, "fair_value": 1927.434331, "relative_strength": 13.022605, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.144211, "energy": 38.341223, "activity_lines": [ 1809.307129, 1809.225544, 1865.210469, 1840.43693 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 1809.307129, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.9, "trend": 1785.2988, "fair_value": 1914.391282, "relative_strength": 11.862332, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.571181, "energy": 35.946227, "activity_lines": [ 1809.307129, 1809.262531, 1857.450251, 1842.648519 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 1819.696777, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 18.65, "trend": 1795.916422, "fair_value": 1901.414834, "relative_strength": 9.034245, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.926174, "energy": 29.040389, "activity_lines": [ 1812.770345, 1811.18129, 1849.615391, 1844.867743 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 1819.696777, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.65, "trend": 1806.534045, "fair_value": 1888.438386, "relative_strength": 8.931125, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.871406, "energy": 20.918752, "activity_lines": [ 1815.540918, 1812.89628, 1842.531216, 1846.40196 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 1819.696777, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.65, "trend": 1817.151668, "fair_value": 1875.461938, "relative_strength": 5.307481, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.699692, "energy": 73.369252, "activity_lines": [ 1817.618847, 1814.407502, 1836.197728, 1847.251168 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 1819.696777, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.65, "trend": 1827.769291, "fair_value": 1862.485489, "relative_strength": 2.609855, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.672437, "energy": 73.302931, "activity_lines": [ 1819.004134, 1815.72982, 1830.614925, 1847.415369 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 1819.696777, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18.65, "trend": 1835.564543, "fair_value": 1849.509041, "relative_strength": 3.01559, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.969533, "energy": 74.025862, "activity_lines": [ 1819.696777, 1816.863237, 1825.782808, 1846.894562 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 1819.696777, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11.95, "trend": 1843.359794, "fair_value": 1836.532593, "relative_strength": 5.531039, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.998397, "energy": 74.0961, "activity_lines": [ 1819.696777, 1817.80775, 1821.701378, 1845.870835 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 1820.514893, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11.95, "trend": 1851.182316, "fair_value": 1827.659879, "relative_strength": 4.329758, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.99869, "energy": 83.546802, "activity_lines": [ 1819.969482, 1818.712109, 1818.856697, 1844.39697 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 1820.514893, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11.95, "trend": 1859.004838, "fair_value": 1818.787166, "relative_strength": 4.756356, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.998726, "energy": 60.3969, "activity_lines": [ 1820.187647, 1819.412691, 1817.166955, 1842.418427 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 1820.514893, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11.95, "trend": 1866.82736, "fair_value": 1811.95702, "relative_strength": 4.100103, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.997027, "energy": 60.392765, "activity_lines": [ 1820.35127, 1819.909495, 1816.632152, 1839.935205 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 1820.514893, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11.45, "trend": 1874.649882, "fair_value": 1805.314826, "relative_strength": 2.838086, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.985409, "energy": 60.364495, "activity_lines": [ 1820.460352, 1820.202521, 1817.252287, 1836.947303 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 1820.514893, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.5, "trend": 1869.422351, "fair_value": 1798.672631, "relative_strength": 5.894168, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.981092, "energy": 60.353996, "activity_lines": [ 1820.514893, 1820.29177, 1817.817152, 1833.454724 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 1820.514893, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.5, "trend": 1864.19482, "fair_value": 1792.030436, "relative_strength": 5.469647, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.978345, "energy": 60.347673, "activity_lines": [ 1820.514893, 1820.366145, 1818.324752, 1830.299404 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 1820.514893, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.5, "trend": 1858.967289, "fair_value": 1785.388241, "relative_strength": 2.209668, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.970213, "energy": 60.343197, "activity_lines": [ 1820.514893, 1820.425644, 1818.77509, 1827.481344 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 1820.514893, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.5, "trend": 1853.739758, "fair_value": 1781.329463, "relative_strength": -4.615125, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.0, "energy": 80.4, "activity_lines": [ 1820.514893, 1820.470268, 1819.172057, 1825.000544 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 1167.124634, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 2.75, "trend": 1826.732552, "fair_value": 1773.082286, "relative_strength": -37.543206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.186156, "energy": 77.428111, "activity_lines": [ 1602.71814, 1701.701789, 1757.288009, 1780.702794 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 1167.124634, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.75, "trend": 1796.868307, "fair_value": 1764.835108, "relative_strength": -38.050551, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.654927, "energy": 78.127549, "activity_lines": [ 1428.480738, 1594.798258, 1698.461974, 1738.147445 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 1167.124634, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.75, "trend": 1767.004061, "fair_value": 1756.587931, "relative_strength": -39.259777, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -95.218577, "energy": 78.32647, "activity_lines": [ 1297.802686, 1499.759675, 1642.693951, 1697.518821 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 1446.436401, "volume": 736, "typical_volume": 39.55, "trend": 1746.450208, "fair_value": 1750.131213, "relative_strength": -25.017571, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.997695, "energy": 68.097976, "activity_lines": [ 1303.787907, 1467.384872, 1616.58506, 1676.837036 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 1446.436401, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39.55, "trend": 1725.896354, "fair_value": 1743.674496, "relative_strength": -24.229391, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.97601, "energy": 87.492358, "activity_lines": [ 1334.711694, 1441.811497, 1592.204125, 1657.481307 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 1447.254883, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39.55, "trend": 1713.841248, "fair_value": 1737.218, "relative_strength": -24.323053, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.457149, "energy": 66.817049, "activity_lines": [ 1390.846875, 1423.188363, 1569.629096, 1639.504437 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 1447.254883, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 37.05, "trend": 1701.800094, "fair_value": 1730.761504, "relative_strength": -23.343614, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.638886, "energy": 49.939451, "activity_lines": [ 1428.306706, 1411.351776, 1548.778126, 1622.305317 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 1447.254883, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 37.05, "trend": 1689.75894, "fair_value": 1724.305008, "relative_strength": -21.619783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.997936, "energy": 44.041531, "activity_lines": [ 1447.091187, 1406.301733, 1529.700689, 1605.883045 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 1277.576782, "volume": 8, "typical_volume": 37.45, "trend": 1672.034595, "fair_value": 1716.760831, "relative_strength": -31.913693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.726826, "energy": 59.783854, "activity_lines": [ 1390.640951, 1377.187673, 1496.236965, 1579.290648 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 1277.576782, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 37.45, "trend": 1654.31025, "fair_value": 1709.216655, "relative_strength": -32.33753, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.587495, "energy": 67.929492, "activity_lines": [ 1345.448022, 1357.945215, 1465.354765, 1553.841757 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 1277.576782, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 37.45, "trend": 1636.585905, "fair_value": 1701.672479, "relative_strength": -30.488034, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.078875, "energy": 68.137744, "activity_lines": [ 1311.512402, 1348.574358, 1437.054089, 1529.536372 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 1277.576782, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 37.45, "trend": 1618.86156, "fair_value": 1694.128303, "relative_strength": -29.873962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.497107, "energy": 67.508619, "activity_lines": [ 1288.888655, 1337.195281, 1411.334937, 1506.374493 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 1277.576782, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 37.45, "trend": 1601.137215, "fair_value": 1686.584127, "relative_strength": -30.840274, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.461388, "energy": 67.260451, "activity_lines": [ 1277.576782, 1323.807983, 1388.197309, 1484.35612 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 1282.567139, "volume": 15, "typical_volume": 38.2, "trend": 1583.579216, "fair_value": 1679.07194, "relative_strength": -29.726177, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.010865, "energy": 87.801394, "activity_lines": [ 1279.240234, 1309.319802, 1368.120372, 1463.803212 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 1282.567139, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38.2, "trend": 1566.021216, "fair_value": 1671.559753, "relative_strength": -30.818409, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.353055, "energy": 86.411235, "activity_lines": [ 1280.570996, 1297.811062, 1350.605091, 1444.383078 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 1282.567139, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38.2, "trend": 1548.463216, "fair_value": 1664.047567, "relative_strength": -30.809827, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.490754, "energy": 83.645695, "activity_lines": [ 1281.569068, 1289.281763, 1335.651466, 1426.095718 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 1282.567139, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38.2, "trend": 1530.558895, "fair_value": 1656.53538, "relative_strength": -31.536071, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.172461, "energy": 86.777594, "activity_lines": [ 1282.234449, 1283.746786, 1323.259497, 1408.941133 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 1282.567139, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38.2, "trend": 1512.654574, "fair_value": 1649.018104, "relative_strength": -30.590774, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.668061, "energy": 81.826514, "activity_lines": [ 1282.567139, 1281.206133, 1313.429184, 1392.941665 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 1338.327637, "volume": 15, "typical_volume": 38.95, "trend": 1496.608936, "fair_value": 1641.858267, "relative_strength": -28.974394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.174733, "energy": 57.026702, "activity_lines": [ 1301.153972, 1291.798074, 1311.471051, 1381.694766 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 1338.327637, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38.95, "trend": 1480.563298, "fair_value": 1634.69843, "relative_strength": -29.781568, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.435611, "energy": 44.665038, "activity_lines": [ 1316.023438, 1301.285454, 1311.809047, 1371.483069 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 1338.327637, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38.7, "trend": 1464.51766, "fair_value": 1627.538593, "relative_strength": -28.379293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.574671, "energy": 35.285442, "activity_lines": [ 1327.175537, 1309.668273, 1314.443174, 1362.306575 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 1338.327637, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38.7, "trend": 1448.472022, "fair_value": 1620.378756, "relative_strength": -28.936047, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.285538, "energy": 47.499674, "activity_lines": [ 1334.61027, 1316.946531, 1316.262047, 1354.165283 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 1338.327637, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38.7, "trend": 1432.399113, "fair_value": 1613.218919, "relative_strength": -27.831778, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.184344, "energy": 42.347951, "activity_lines": [ 1338.327637, 1323.120228, 1317.265669, 1347.059193 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 1338.327637, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.9, "trend": 1416.326205, "fair_value": 1606.059082, "relative_strength": -25.315735, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.283968, "energy": 31.581026, "activity_lines": [ 1338.327637, 1328.189365, 1317.454038, 1340.990066 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 1238.032959, "volume": 1554, "typical_volume": 79.6, "trend": 1396.91014, "fair_value": 1598.25633, "relative_strength": -31.386457, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.870444, "energy": 53.641481, "activity_lines": [ 1304.896078, 1314.009278, 1308.605336, 1329.487276 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 1296.380005, "volume": 1808, "typical_volume": 170.0, "trend": 1379.438977, "fair_value": 1596.730067, "relative_strength": -26.548741, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.974287, "energy": 44.802359, "activity_lines": [ 1297.599846, 1311.247457, 1306.305894, 1323.001461 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 1296.380005, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 170.0, "trend": 1361.967814, "fair_value": 1595.203803, "relative_strength": -27.47755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.754932, "energy": 55.061253, "activity_lines": [ 1293.100122, 1308.234493, 1304.724903, 1317.642817 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 1225.468628, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 170.5, "trend": 1342.132939, "fair_value": 1593.222979, "relative_strength": -31.380307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.70368, "energy": 76.089926, "activity_lines": [ 1267.759782, 1292.077408, 1297.1089, 1308.836418 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 1225.468628, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 170.1, "trend": 1322.298063, "fair_value": 1591.242155, "relative_strength": -29.448435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.099129, "energy": 94.604604, "activity_lines": [ 1249.943376, 1276.958478, 1290.549021, 1301.309689 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 1228.464966, "volume": 51, "typical_volume": 172.65, "trend": 1302.563066, "fair_value": 1589.280538, "relative_strength": -27.964291, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.766793, "energy": 92.521938, "activity_lines": [ 1240.649683, 1264.436319, 1284.522642, 1295.25594 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 1228.464966, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 172.65, "trend": 1304.607743, "fair_value": 1587.313829, "relative_strength": -29.07031, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.178189, "energy": 89.568641, "activity_lines": [ 1231.993856, 1253.911663, 1278.730129, 1290.475418 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 1229.294434, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 172.65, "trend": 1306.68007, "fair_value": 1585.352438, "relative_strength": -27.972105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.038112, "energy": 87.842582, "activity_lines": [ 1228.142188, 1245.535323, 1273.250479, 1285.616495 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 1229.294434, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 172.65, "trend": 1308.752397, "fair_value": 1583.391047, "relative_strength": -28.638501, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.569303, "energy": 83.50517, "activity_lines": [ 1228.762891, 1239.141404, 1268.000745, 1280.623873 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 1229.294434, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 171.9, "trend": 1301.514331, "fair_value": 1581.404194, "relative_strength": -26.895184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.561359, "energy": 69.814632, "activity_lines": [ 1229.12854, 1234.729907, 1262.980926, 1275.497553 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 1229.294434, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 171.9, "trend": 1294.276266, "fair_value": 1579.41734, "relative_strength": -27.805018, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.123813, "energy": 61.852157, "activity_lines": [ 1229.239136, 1232.300833, 1258.214788, 1270.838205 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 1229.294434, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 171.9, "trend": 1287.010917, "fair_value": 1577.430487, "relative_strength": -25.134926, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.675702, "energy": 57.626342, "activity_lines": [ 1229.294434, 1230.03064, 1253.702328, 1266.645828 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 1229.294434, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 171.9, "trend": 1279.745569, "fair_value": 1575.443634, "relative_strength": -26.323007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.38454, "energy": 50.396199, "activity_lines": [ 1229.294434, 1228.980185, 1249.443549, 1262.922184 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 1469.156738, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 172.15, "trend": 1280.475631, "fair_value": 1574.99436, "relative_strength": -12.404477, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 51.795667, "energy": 52.907261, "activity_lines": [ 1309.248535, 1272.760796, 1268.282477, 1275.14226 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 1469.156738, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 171.4, "trend": 1286.861629, "fair_value": 1573.27193, "relative_strength": -12.82631, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 67.503193, "energy": 88.454995, "activity_lines": [ 1373.211816, 1312.110713, 1286.232884, 1287.315234 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 1389.202637, "volume": 102, "typical_volume": 176.5, "trend": 1290.582491, "fair_value": 1571.036973, "relative_strength": -15.862446, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.576071, "energy": 87.404287, "activity_lines": [ 1394.53291, 1332.492829, 1295.945619, 1293.91788 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 1389.202637, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 176.5, "trend": 1294.303353, "fair_value": 1568.802017, "relative_strength": -18.728202, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.655979, "energy": 87.625614, "activity_lines": [ 1405.193457, 1349.952442, 1305.416092, 1300.28047 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 1593.095581, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 181.5, "trend": 1304.820646, "fair_value": 1568.052308, "relative_strength": -6.829255, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.499895, "energy": 98.32312, "activity_lines": [ 1473.157772, 1401.560995, 1334.062679, 1319.557388 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 1545.113159, "volume": 149, "typical_volume": 188.95, "trend": 1313.738526, "fair_value": 1566.995019, "relative_strength": -8.683986, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.723321, "energy": 82.699362, "activity_lines": [ 1500.874536, 1437.830906, 1356.92633, 1335.060131 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 1503.147217, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 198.95, "trend": 1321.091195, "fair_value": 1566.763633, "relative_strength": -10.124326, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.808125, "energy": 72.796929, "activity_lines": [ 1509.538892, 1460.728487, 1374.808532, 1347.280046 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 1446.050049, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 131.25, "trend": 1326.540625, "fair_value": 1566.161143, "relative_strength": -7.294564, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.222671, "energy": 66.734008, "activity_lines": [ 1496.904826, 1468.265623, 1386.468054, 1355.341908 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 1305.089966, "volume": 1086, "typical_volume": 95.15, "trend": 1327.291386, "fair_value": 1564.655063, "relative_strength": -13.142612, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.884878, "energy": 33.950458, "activity_lines": [ 1433.494238, 1446.232642, 1383.712248, 1353.957994 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 1305.089966, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 95.15, "trend": 1328.042147, "fair_value": 1563.148983, "relative_strength": -10.017573, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.146259, "energy": 26.226729, "activity_lines": [ 1375.691162, 1422.82156, 1380.914966, 1352.525645 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 1273.0, "volume": 1243, "typical_volume": 156.8, "trend": 1327.723242, "fair_value": 1561.437198, "relative_strength": -14.485911, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.201025, "energy": 37.740956, "activity_lines": [ 1326.391805, 1392.197838, 1375.020021, 1348.974538 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 1273.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 156.8, "trend": 1325.545654, "fair_value": 1559.725413, "relative_strength": -16.961834, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.686989, "energy": 44.353393, "activity_lines": [ 1295.233325, 1365.140603, 1368.898736, 1345.444007 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 1242.305054, "volume": 150, "typical_volume": 161.75, "trend": 1322.344902, "fair_value": 1557.816866, "relative_strength": -18.074587, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.218785, "energy": 47.539779, "activity_lines": [ 1269.186345, 1336.068954, 1359.627783, 1340.073645 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 1254.217651, "volume": 418, "typical_volume": 182.65, "trend": 1319.541236, "fair_value": 1555.984681, "relative_strength": -15.831139, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.378016, "energy": 66.881322, "activity_lines": [ 1260.693229, 1311.834098, 1351.425458, 1335.678339 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 1326.712524, "volume": 206, "typical_volume": 192.95, "trend": 1319.154065, "fair_value": 1554.617207, "relative_strength": -9.141539, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.72715, "energy": 44.976343, "activity_lines": [ 1279.756559, 1303.234399, 1350.004774, 1336.141003 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 1326.712524, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 192.95, "trend": 1318.766895, "fair_value": 1553.249733, "relative_strength": -7.188751, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.415007, "energy": 28.771422, "activity_lines": [ 1297.378385, 1299.478029, 1348.120195, 1336.628645 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 1403.424683, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 197.95, "trend": 1320.936796, "fair_value": 1552.374004, "relative_strength": -4.581896, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.609262, "energy": 18.489212, "activity_lines": [ 1336.990096, 1313.640245, 1353.07764, 1342.090438 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 1403.424683, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 197.95, "trend": 1326.449854, "fair_value": 1551.498275, "relative_strength": -1.990657, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.308689, "energy": 45.392154, "activity_lines": [ 1367.906828, 1329.615598, 1357.205894, 1347.412237 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 1403.424683, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 197.95, "trend": 1330.01801, "fair_value": 1550.622545, "relative_strength": -2.125096, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.249049, "energy": 50.434146, "activity_lines": [ 1388.082251, 1346.365958, 1360.504956, 1352.378355 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 1403.424683, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 197.95, "trend": 1333.586166, "fair_value": 1549.741719, "relative_strength": -2.080072, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.508256, "energy": 59.949591, "activity_lines": [ 1398.310539, 1361.328414, 1362.974826, 1357.114269 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 1316.976511, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 197.7, "trend": 1336.636428, "fair_value": 1548.306737, "relative_strength": -4.271301, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.330961, "energy": 32.136896, "activity_lines": [ 1374.608626, 1358.785116, 1356.382345, 1356.042679 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 1377.780029, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 197.7, "trend": 1341.713475, "fair_value": 1547.261522, "relative_strength": -2.078192, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.354861, "energy": 32.444982, "activity_lines": [ 1371.823619, 1366.49743, 1356.305343, 1358.697105 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 1377.780029, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 192.6, "trend": 1346.690644, "fair_value": 1546.216307, "relative_strength": -1.224918, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.573288, "energy": 19.914894, "activity_lines": [ 1370.748256, 1372.304653, 1356.663469, 1361.023979 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 1602.5, "volume": 736, "typical_volume": 229.4, "trend": 1359.158478, "fair_value": 1546.611604, "relative_strength": 15.53474, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.414519, "energy": 76.132969, "activity_lines": [ 1446.289194, 1416.506872, 1378.477889, 1377.527809 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1602.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 224.4, "trend": 1371.598664, "fair_value": 1547.006901, "relative_strength": 15.619379, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.538278, "energy": 97.238456, "activity_lines": [ 1508.558444, 1454.376683, 1399.276609, 1393.227262 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1602.5, "volume": 194, "typical_volume": 226.65, "trend": 1384.038849, "fair_value": 1547.402199, "relative_strength": 16.435535, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.595127, "energy": 95.506899, "activity_lines": [ 1557.556006, 1487.232177, 1420.030545, 1408.124122 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1602.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 216.65, "trend": 1396.479035, "fair_value": 1547.797496, "relative_strength": 16.049024, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.032643, "energy": 92.642255, "activity_lines": [ 1587.518669, 1515.073354, 1440.51121, 1422.21839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1531.0, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 206.95, "trend": 1406.535887, "fair_value": 1547.73446, "relative_strength": 11.210274, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.57547, "energy": 88.84733, "activity_lines": [ 1578.666667, 1526.294979, 1453.709243, 1430.897162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1531.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 152.65, "trend": 1416.592739, "fair_value": 1547.671424, "relative_strength": 10.256391, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.769287, "energy": 84.620665, "activity_lines": [ 1559.6, 1535.197053, 1466.502753, 1438.927105 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1695.0, "volume": 51, "typical_volume": 155.2, "trend": 1432.116258, "fair_value": 1548.65967, "relative_strength": 21.699009, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.499366, "energy": 76.355426, "activity_lines": [ 1599.966667, 1571.597757, 1493.839548, 1456.888863 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }