{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a8a5e72d-6a7c-48ff-9d4b-471f587040d5", "symbol": "GDXY", "name": "YIELDMAX GOLD MINERS OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.596, "architecture_energy": 42.764, "architecture_maturity": 62.005, "architecture_confidence": 66.286, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.97, "rotation_up": 25.57, "upward_expansion": 17.82, "deceleration": 66.34, "rotation_down": 47.52, "downward_expansion": 70.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.971659, 9.916627, 10.532385, 11.130763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.05, "trend_reference": 11.950763, "distance_from_trend": -0.075373, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.483573, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.165173, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.017575, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.170361, "excess_performance": -0.295986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.075373, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053622, "read": "Falling" 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9.007366, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.053981, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.06168, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.03952, "worst_return": -0.068442, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"relative_strength": -24.517328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.243229, "energy": 76.702334, "activity_lines": [ 9.509388, 9.890977, 10.719886, 11.364468 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.451054, "volume": 2524679, "typical_volume": 3834096.1, "trend": 12.013795, "fair_value": 9.469952, "relative_strength": -25.702726, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.24982, "energy": 66.339852, "activity_lines": [ 9.463384, 9.740996, 10.542097, 11.192943 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.05, "volume": 3539350, "typical_volume": 3593300.9, "trend": 11.950763, "fair_value": 9.483573, "relative_strength": -16.017575, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.596347, "energy": 42.763664, "activity_lines": [ 9.971659, 9.916627, 10.532385, 11.130763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }