{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a8a750c3-7cd3-4654-8edd-dda7dd5580f2", "symbol": "VPN", "name": "Global X Data Center REITS & Digital Infrastructure UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.913, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.341, "architecture_energy": 22.116, "architecture_maturity": 60.11, "architecture_confidence": 77.686, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.05, "rotation_up": 14.96, "upward_expansion": 42.55, "deceleration": 87.56, "rotation_down": 42.54, "downward_expansion": 34.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.554, 26.164546, 26.600441, 25.939102 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 25.785, "trend_reference": 24.92175, "distance_from_trend": 0.034638, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.82557, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.532489, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.388851, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.173646, "excess_performance": 0.122411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034638, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115006, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.532489, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.22748, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073889, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.248062, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.173646, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.653352, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73653, "relative_activity": 0.591293, "balance": 1.653352, "dry_up": 0.613868, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054694, "annualized_volatility": 0.277372, "from_high_reference": -0.114678, "from_low_reference": 0.58132 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.92175, "fair_value_reference": 16.82557, "structural_low": 20.885, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.020839, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.020857, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.187274, "worst_return": -0.039765, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.126206, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.078119, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.234062, "worst_return": 0.074901, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.185798, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.153518, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.530456, "worst_return": 0.009387, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.036929, 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"2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043241, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.125686, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011996, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.050968, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.055114, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.11004, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward 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25.347364 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 26.299999, "volume": 19715, "typical_volume": 127850.65, "trend": 23.892483, "fair_value": 16.391423, "relative_strength": 14.337724, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.805932, "energy": 47.042303, "activity_lines": [ 27.636, 27.780954, 26.629345, 25.517834 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.530001, "volume": 157840, "typical_volume": 127576.0, "trend": 24.138417, "fair_value": 16.482077, "relative_strength": 16.641854, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.912106, "energy": 33.672921, "activity_lines": [ 27.164667, 27.579818, 26.734809, 25.687997 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.905001, "volume": 69569, "typical_volume": 122319.65, "trend": 24.346017, "fair_value": 16.564455, "relative_strength": 8.032483, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.820617, "energy": 25.389969, "activity_lines": [ 26.270334, 27.0775, 26.669036, 25.737454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.035, "volume": 88657, "typical_volume": 123559.15, "trend": 24.580517, "fair_value": 16.652647, "relative_strength": 11.008927, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.761358, "energy": 29.137032, "activity_lines": [ 25.987334, 26.825818, 26.701976, 25.84642 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.985001, "volume": 73981, "typical_volume": 124144.75, "trend": 24.752917, "fair_value": 16.735583, "relative_strength": 4.827666, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.228507, "energy": 24.039508, "activity_lines": [ 25.542667, 26.398955, 26.618655, 25.872516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.785, "volume": 73653, "typical_volume": 124562.6, "trend": 24.92175, "fair_value": 16.82557, "relative_strength": 7.388851, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.34069, "energy": 22.115921, "activity_lines": [ 25.554, 26.164546, 26.600441, 25.939102 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }