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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.21, "architecture_energy": 85.803, "architecture_maturity": 47.426, "architecture_confidence": 86.627, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.94, "rotation_up": 80.59, "upward_expansion": 97.36, "deceleration": 40.96, "rotation_down": 13.15, "downward_expansion": 19.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 803.1856, 785.009402, 747.296884, 717.080885 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 814.26001, "trend_reference": 682.63394, "distance_from_trend": 0.192821, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 454.335843, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.792198, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.473754, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.280886, "excess_performance": 0.337934, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.192821, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084448, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.792198, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.233124, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.224738, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.292355, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.280886, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 10.54321, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97, "relative_activity": 0.653859, "balance": 10.54321, "dry_up": 1.813279, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036866, "annualized_volatility": 0.287351, "from_high_reference": -0.014092, "from_low_reference": 0.514468 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 682.63394, "fair_value_reference": 454.335843, "structural_low": 589.417305, 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726.837982, 700.140142 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 796.320007, "volume": 109, "typical_volume": 152.4, "trend": 676.989663, "fair_value": 450.491011, "relative_strength": 16.475599, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.130671, "energy": 82.824409, "activity_lines": [ 793.966711, 775.35352, 736.659281, 708.224733 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 814.26001, "volume": 97, "typical_volume": 148.35, "trend": 682.63394, "fair_value": 454.335843, "relative_strength": 22.473754, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.21041, "energy": 85.803159, "activity_lines": [ 803.1856, 785.009402, 747.296884, 717.080885 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }