{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a8c3f305-dd9b-471b-a332-0d6998125c80",
    "symbol": "CBSUSA",
    "name": "UBS BBG MSCI US Liquid Corp Sustainable UCITS ETF USD acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 67.442,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 41.9,
    "architecture_energy": 33.694,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.205,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.088,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.64,
        "rotation_up": 26.69,
        "upward_expansion": 61.81,
        "deceleration": 93.99,
        "rotation_down": 27.51,
        "downward_expansion": 18.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.035167,
        17.074619,
        16.961179,
        16.882391
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 17.0495,
    "trend_reference": 16.796533,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.015061,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 16.962821,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.00511,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.243342,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.031116,
    "excess_performance": -0.051768,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015061,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002772,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00511,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024899,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092433,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04344,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031116,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.0,
      "dry_up": 1.5,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007397,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.049344,
      "from_high_reference": -0.200552,
      "from_low_reference": 0.04374
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.796533,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.962821,
      "structural_low": 16.3825,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.006529,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014521,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.010372,
        "worst_return": -0.084041,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.03569,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012149,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": -0.002405,
        "worst_return": -0.068516,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.060614,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023416,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.024514,
        "worst_return": -0.06173,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.083726,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02406,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.058524,
        "worst_return": -0.108929,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.021101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.014671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.201303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022975,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.020146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008432,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015563,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.01151,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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    ],
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        "relative_strength": -5.292621,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.05607,
        "energy": 28.422472,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.691333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 16.577499,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 327.5,
        "trend": 16.92772,
        "fair_value": 16.912167,
        "relative_strength": -4.899321,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.930622,
        "energy": 53.255412,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 16.559,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 327.5,
        "trend": 16.91717,
        "fair_value": 16.912581,
        "relative_strength": -5.708399,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.075561,
        "energy": 70.485882,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 16.5935,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 302.3,
        "trend": 16.7594,
        "fair_value": 16.913215,
        "relative_strength": -7.330999,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.193553,
        "energy": 70.546031,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 16.709499,
        "volume": 1008,
        "typical_volume": 327.5,
        "trend": 16.7501,
        "fair_value": 16.913052,
        "relative_strength": -6.782464,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.272489,
        "energy": 41.465566,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 16.835501,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 327.5,
        "trend": 16.742667,
        "fair_value": 16.914481,
        "relative_strength": -4.875795,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 7.768325,
        "energy": 6.783057,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 16.970501,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 226.8,
        "trend": 16.751283,
        "fair_value": 16.917007,
        "relative_strength": -6.188326,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.578211,
        "energy": 46.191054,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 201.6,
        "trend": 16.7562,
        "fair_value": 16.921049,
        "relative_strength": -5.269041,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 66.276322,
        "energy": 85.870903,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 17.335501,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 201.6,
        "trend": 16.760967,
        "fair_value": 16.926081,
        "relative_strength": -6.912332,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.399104,
        "energy": 98.56508,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.112901,
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          16.811309,
          16.771297
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 17.115,
        "volume": 504,
        "typical_volume": 226.8,
        "trend": 16.762667,
        "fair_value": 16.930658,
        "relative_strength": -9.462841,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.493031,
        "energy": 88.80329,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 17.095501,
        "volume": 1008,
        "typical_volume": 277.2,
        "trend": 16.77115,
        "fair_value": 16.93709,
        "relative_strength": -8.145025,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.041116,
        "energy": 88.090997,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.151767,
          17.022828,
          16.878429,
          16.815611
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.102501,
        "volume": 1008,
        "typical_volume": 327.6,
        "trend": 16.779783,
        "fair_value": 16.943898,
        "relative_strength": -8.567272,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.309646,
        "energy": 83.232023,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.139434,
          17.060146,
          16.90801,
          16.836988
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.102501,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 277.2,
        "trend": 16.791217,
        "fair_value": 16.950671,
        "relative_strength": -8.2279,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.116889,
        "energy": 61.785016,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.118301,
          17.087919,
          16.935038,
          16.857809
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.917999,
        "volume": 504,
        "typical_volume": 252.0,
        "trend": 16.79525,
        "fair_value": 16.956324,
        "relative_strength": -9.019678,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.251149,
        "energy": 42.274942,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.0409,
          17.072264,
          16.942529,
          16.865988
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.0495,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 252.0,
        "trend": 16.796533,
        "fair_value": 16.962821,
        "relative_strength": -9.243342,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.899525,
        "energy": 33.693798,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.035167,
          17.074619,
          16.961179,
          16.882391
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}