{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a8cdfa94-5dfa-479d-b47c-7ffdcbb64cb0",
    "symbol": "W1MC34",
    "name": "Waste Management, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 72.335,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 20.592,
    "architecture_energy": 28.1,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.867,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.787,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.56,
        "rotation_up": 56.61,
        "upward_expansion": 41.28,
        "deceleration": 32.57,
        "rotation_down": 17.34,
        "downward_expansion": 16.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        74.66575,
        74.043568,
        72.133129,
        72.247362
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 73.360001,
    "trend_reference": 72.64065,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.009903,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 69.758788,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.051624,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.142937,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.010496,
    "excess_performance": 0.067544,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009903,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003623,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051624,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084182,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031429,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.228145,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010496,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.038092,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7214,
      "relative_activity": 3.007337,
      "balance": 1.038092,
      "dry_up": 0.805403,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044005,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.273965,
      "from_high_reference": -0.096638,
      "from_low_reference": 0.175356
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 72.64065,
      "fair_value_reference": 69.758788,
      "structural_low": 62.415131,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.004854,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071051,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.056025,
        "worst_return": -0.073544,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.00689,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.144977,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.117793,
        "worst_return": -0.026601,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.033647,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11785,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.307555,
        "worst_return": -0.061904,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.272939,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.135505,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.559047,
        "worst_return": -0.013169,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0099,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.342464,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.032215,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.009151,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.053087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.001476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.052332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014458,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.051963,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.008674,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.058312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057451,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.066512,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05264,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 1068.8,
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      },
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      },
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        "trend": 73.03609,
        "fair_value": 67.619352,
        "relative_strength": -25.572979,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 2508.8,
        "trend": 72.926544,
        "fair_value": 67.741306,
        "relative_strength": -23.523217,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.3016,
        "energy": 66.831916,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 65.626701,
        "volume": 10848,
        "typical_volume": 2942.0,
        "trend": 72.625398,
        "fair_value": 67.835301,
        "relative_strength": -25.957455,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -62.862023,
        "energy": 81.77824,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 65.626701,
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        "typical_volume": 2939.6,
        "trend": 72.41084,
        "fair_value": 67.939336,
        "relative_strength": -22.476544,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -85.674498,
        "energy": 93.922293,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 69.996834,
        "volume": 1360,
        "typical_volume": 2758.0,
        "trend": 72.362433,
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        "relative_strength": -16.120695,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.302794,
        "energy": 78.617681,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 2746.8,
        "trend": 72.378405,
        "fair_value": 68.183118,
        "relative_strength": -18.138347,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.482543,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 70.625,
        "volume": 1624,
        "typical_volume": 2825.6,
        "trend": 72.509454,
        "fair_value": 68.328081,
        "relative_strength": -10.253805,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -59.773123,
        "energy": 44.961007,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 69.322502,
        "volume": 2184,
        "typical_volume": 2812.0,
        "trend": 72.527593,
        "fair_value": 68.462594,
        "relative_strength": -12.333554,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "direction": -44.612029,
        "energy": 30.43151,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 1208,
        "typical_volume": 2769.2,
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        "fair_value": 68.598542,
        "relative_strength": -10.669244,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 29.315327,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 73.3125,
        "volume": 2080,
        "typical_volume": 2516.4,
        "trend": 72.454796,
        "fair_value": 68.745409,
        "relative_strength": -7.247564,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.371043,
        "energy": 19.489355,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.593862,
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          71.397215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 73.47625,
        "volume": 4376,
        "typical_volume": 2474.4,
        "trend": 72.474962,
        "fair_value": 68.894396,
        "relative_strength": -7.13372,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -5.603475,
        "energy": 18.668266,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 74.652496,
        "volume": 2960,
        "typical_volume": 2622.4,
        "trend": 72.551229,
        "fair_value": 69.060261,
        "relative_strength": -6.975394,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.00626,
        "energy": 34.97199,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.974998,
          71.288451,
          70.828496,
          71.603601
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 77.436249,
        "volume": 264,
        "typical_volume": 2555.6,
        "trend": 72.638262,
        "fair_value": 69.236261,
        "relative_strength": -0.589172,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.175714,
        "energy": 55.08584,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.796248,
          72.668303,
          71.374708,
          71.918764
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.713753,
        "volume": 160,
        "typical_volume": 2060.8,
        "trend": 72.589162,
        "fair_value": 69.415872,
        "relative_strength": -3.601033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.726323,
        "energy": 54.411139,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.169083,
          73.338435,
          71.644977,
          72.052666
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.879997,
        "volume": 90,
        "typical_volume": 2038.1,
        "trend": 72.633056,
        "fair_value": 69.593431,
        "relative_strength": -4.831199,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.511938,
        "energy": 50.706256,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.222999,
          73.873575,
          71.95998,
          72.200462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 73.360001,
        "volume": 7214,
        "typical_volume": 2398.8,
        "trend": 72.64065,
        "fair_value": 69.758788,
        "relative_strength": -3.142937,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.591931,
        "energy": 28.09988,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.66575,
          74.043568,
          72.133129,
          72.247362
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}