{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a8f48718-0b01-49b0-abbe-1481d95085ef",
    "symbol": "IUSA",
    "name": "iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Dist",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.756,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.665,
    "architecture_energy": 61.756,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.878,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.151,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.7,
        "rotation_up": 53.66,
        "upward_expansion": 80.6,
        "deceleration": 68.14,
        "rotation_down": 27.56,
        "downward_expansion": 9.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        75.178,
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        74.117576,
        72.711741
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 77.07,
    "trend_reference": 71.117539,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083699,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.230867,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.323525,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.625953,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.124015,
    "excess_performance": 0.041132,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083699,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0337,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.323525,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001253,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00626,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074794,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124015,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.803125,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 179663,
      "relative_activity": 1.236179,
      "balance": 1.803125,
      "dry_up": 1.493568,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018187,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.136,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006958,
      "from_low_reference": 0.226833
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 71.117539,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.230867,
      "structural_low": 63.48,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.01615,
        "positive_rate": 0.775,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.775,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004857,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.063052,
        "worst_return": -0.10276,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.846154,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
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        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
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        "worst_return": -0.058432,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.009779,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.158349,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.091892,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.160004,
        "volume": 170215,
        "typical_volume": 158622.55,
        "trend": 70.852716,
        "fair_value": 58.013199,
        "relative_strength": -1.837307,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.557846,
        "energy": 47.920753,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 77.07,
        "volume": 179663,
        "typical_volume": 145337.4,
        "trend": 71.117539,
        "fair_value": 58.230867,
        "relative_strength": 0.625953,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}