{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a90cfefb-4228-4a05-a4fe-51a6a751beb8",
    "symbol": "FR",
    "name": "Valeo SE",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.767,
    "architecture_energy": 53.955,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.698,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.513,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.23,
        "rotation_up": 59.37,
        "upward_expansion": 79.94,
        "deceleration": 54.78,
        "rotation_down": 16.38,
        "downward_expansion": 8.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        12.618618
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 14.63,
    "trend_reference": 12.103633,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.208728,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.539672,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.388089,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 18.741055,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.209402,
    "excess_performance": 0.156091,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208728,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075422,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.388089,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.355888,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.187411,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122747,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.209402,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.652436,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3811682,
      "relative_activity": 1.017257,
      "balance": 2.652436,
      "dry_up": 1.255197,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.094951,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.476414,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073758,
      "from_low_reference": 0.603695
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.103633,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.539672,
      "structural_low": 9.122683,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.047405,
        "positive_rate": 0.4375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04118,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.185103,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.18973,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 3893277.6,
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        "fair_value": 10.637002,
        "relative_strength": 7.635733,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.89,
        "volume": 4057131,
        "typical_volume": 3804028.75,
        "trend": 11.816565,
        "fair_value": 10.598693,
        "relative_strength": 11.435116,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.695412,
        "energy": 22.868051,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.834333,
          13.192084,
          12.502717,
          12.143214
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.73,
        "volume": 6431007,
        "typical_volume": 3850067.75,
        "trend": 11.907894,
        "fair_value": 10.568108,
        "relative_strength": 17.516489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.439528,
        "energy": 25.998127,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.097667,
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          12.266662
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.74,
        "volume": 4513170,
        "typical_volume": 3832198.15,
        "trend": 12.006791,
        "fair_value": 10.552159,
        "relative_strength": 23.245645,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.965094,
        "energy": 40.396704,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.690333,
          13.539727,
          12.953087,
          12.449378
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.63,
        "volume": 3811682,
        "typical_volume": 3747018.0,
        "trend": 12.103633,
        "fair_value": 10.539672,
        "relative_strength": 18.741055,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.766879,
        "energy": 53.955282,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.098333,
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          13.185481,
          12.618618
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}