{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a90d5b2e-f6b7-4ebe-a857-4a63e0021a75",
    "symbol": "PRF",
    "name": "INVESCO RAFI US 1000 ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.643,
    "architecture_energy": 72.492,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.543,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.842,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.56,
        "rotation_up": 68.24,
        "upward_expansion": 90.49,
        "deceleration": 50.24,
        "rotation_down": 25.5,
        "downward_expansion": 12.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        52.556534
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 55.92,
    "trend_reference": 51.200339,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.09218,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.022901,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.363141,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.523502,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.122769,
    "excess_performance": -0.002856,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09218,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053158,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.363141,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023232,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025235,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001556,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122769,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.240334,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1264755,
      "relative_activity": 0.583005,
      "balance": 1.240334,
      "dry_up": 0.601434,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018429,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.101626,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004274,
      "from_low_reference": 0.326252
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.200339,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.022901,
      "structural_low": 46.37,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.014099,
        "positive_rate": 0.682927,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.682927,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003596,
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        "worst_return": -0.103391,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.05649,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.01453,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2602695.9,
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        "fair_value": 40.579031,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 54.41,
        "volume": 1214984,
        "typical_volume": 2406555.2,
        "trend": 50.69125,
        "fair_value": 40.72102,
        "relative_strength": 4.701045,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 69.005716,
        "energy": 68.09538,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.76,
        "volume": 1295596,
        "typical_volume": 2270887.5,
        "trend": 50.945719,
        "fair_value": 40.868487,
        "relative_strength": 4.067953,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.202802,
        "energy": 66.042656,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.52,
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          52.235613
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.92,
        "volume": 1264755,
        "typical_volume": 2169372.45,
        "trend": 51.200339,
        "fair_value": 41.022901,
        "relative_strength": 2.523502,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.64325,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}