{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a910d70b-373d-46f5-965a-df35566f7da6", "symbol": "002489", "name": "Yotrio Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.398, "architecture_energy": 59.177, "architecture_maturity": 31.512, "architecture_confidence": 84.705, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.84, "rotation_up": 15.2, "upward_expansion": 9.88, "deceleration": 50.63, "rotation_down": 67.06, "downward_expansion": 83.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.674, 2.755455, 3.043632, 3.181075 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.7, "trend_reference": 3.366424, "distance_from_trend": -0.197962, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.270602, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.174464, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.108803, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.287599, "excess_performance": -0.294999, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.197962, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093282, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.174464, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.28228, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.271088, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.287599, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.512512, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 104421159, "relative_activity": 0.685724, "balance": 0.512512, "dry_up": 0.794104, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103725, "annualized_volatility": 0.377867, "from_high_reference": -0.355609, "from_low_reference": 0.08 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.366424, "fair_value_reference": 3.270602, "structural_low": 2.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.011448, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.020616, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.115819, "worst_return": -0.07721, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.00602, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004106, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.158948, "worst_return": -0.145215, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.030201, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.059409, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.245412, "worst_return": -0.248466, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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3.094597, 3.226501 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.7, "volume": 104421159, "typical_volume": 152278792.05, "trend": 3.366424, "fair_value": 3.270602, "relative_strength": -27.108803, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.397512, "energy": 59.176729, "activity_lines": [ 2.674, 2.755455, 3.043632, 3.181075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }