{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a916fd82-2283-4c0d-a3d4-a4d4036a23b4", "symbol": "SUPL", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST SUPPLY CHAIN LOGISTICS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.934, "architecture_energy": 51.99, "architecture_maturity": 37.082, "architecture_confidence": 85.729, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.7, "rotation_up": 58.03, "upward_expansion": 81.68, "deceleration": 53.15, "rotation_down": 20.08, "downward_expansion": 8.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.33876, 47.116274, 46.553405, 45.847956 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 47.0006, "trend_reference": 44.897139, "distance_from_trend": 0.046851, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.289408, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227509, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.095698, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.053759, "excess_performance": -0.071866, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046851, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061191, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.227509, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02319, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.000957, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009884, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.053759, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.031291, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2657, "relative_activity": 0.485914, "balance": 2.031291, "dry_up": 0.938909, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028627, "annualized_volatility": 0.176826, "from_high_reference": -0.062986, "from_low_reference": 0.300866 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.897139, "fair_value_reference": 38.289408, "structural_low": 41.3899, 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"relative_strength": 7.548621, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.207837, "energy": 77.182385, "activity_lines": [ 47.734587, 47.161998, 46.308212, 45.573471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.4544, "volume": 2792, "typical_volume": 5381.75, "trend": 44.706873, "fair_value": 38.219454, "relative_strength": 2.281231, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.447445, "energy": 61.614473, "activity_lines": [ 47.475227, 47.101514, 46.415597, 45.699973 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.0006, "volume": 2657, "typical_volume": 5468.05, "trend": 44.897139, "fair_value": 38.289408, "relative_strength": -0.095698, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.93355, "energy": 51.989529, "activity_lines": [ 47.33876, 47.116274, 46.553405, 45.847956 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }