{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a928f260-93c1-429a-95ca-e431fa18148b", "symbol": "CIPLA", "name": "Cipla Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 54.057, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.372, "architecture_energy": 44.7, "architecture_maturity": 23.017, "architecture_confidence": 78.528, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.56, "rotation_up": 53.06, "upward_expansion": 79.59, "deceleration": 62.05, "rotation_down": 22.44, "downward_expansion": 6.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 1448.02666, 1437.014537, 1404.398267, 1375.491343 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1463.800049, "trend_reference": 1350.163127, "distance_from_trend": 0.084165, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1420.380103, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.030569, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.22442, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.100602, "excess_performance": 0.144311, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084165, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021098, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.030569, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068405, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032244, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077952, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.100602, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.175101, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4960081, "relative_activity": 0.74952, "balance": 1.175101, "dry_up": 1.053363, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04317, "annualized_volatility": 0.201776, "from_high_reference": -0.125045, "from_low_reference": 0.267507 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1350.163127, "fair_value_reference": 1420.380103, "structural_low": 1154.86559, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.010353, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.014649, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.100726, "worst_return": -0.082286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.028909, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.016234, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.153113, "worst_return": -0.127563, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.032313, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.023977, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.151188, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.786976, "energy": 52.913514, "activity_lines": [ 1426.833309, 1416.730038, 1381.242494, 1360.312821 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1473.199951, "volume": 7032465, "typical_volume": 6769152.55, "trend": 1350.226457, "fair_value": 1418.859499, "relative_strength": 4.63506, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.052505, "energy": 46.10572, "activity_lines": [ 1440.099967, 1428.517776, 1393.645376, 1368.164014 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1463.800049, "volume": 4960081, "typical_volume": 6617677.8, "trend": 1350.163127, "fair_value": 1420.380103, "relative_strength": 3.22442, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.371549, "energy": 44.700218, "activity_lines": [ 1448.02666, 1437.014537, 1404.398267, 1375.491343 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }