{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a932be36-2c22-47d1-a84f-e210419c38a6", "symbol": "AQ", "name": "AQ Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 75.061, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -0.681, "architecture_energy": 24.84, "architecture_maturity": 35.569, "architecture_confidence": 78.996, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.3, "rotation_up": 14.68, "upward_expansion": 44.86, "deceleration": 73.26, "rotation_down": 44.21, "downward_expansion": 38.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 207.066671, 211.429094, 217.767942, 213.668453 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 207.600006, "trend_reference": 206.898216, "distance_from_trend": 0.003392, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 152.880433, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.357924, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.676793, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.052024, "excess_performance": -0.009471, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003392, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053889, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.357924, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232002, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.066768, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148984, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.052024, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.751684, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 308281, "relative_activity": 0.79857, "balance": 0.751684, "dry_up": 1.302917, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061435, "annualized_volatility": 0.296568, "from_high_reference": -0.151961, "from_low_reference": 0.260402 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 206.898216, "fair_value_reference": 152.880433, "structural_low": 169.270888, 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210.600006, "volume": 470751, "typical_volume": 402637.05, "trend": 205.480733, "fair_value": 151.319268, "relative_strength": -2.659586, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.80699, "energy": 22.851458, "activity_lines": [ 209.906671, 216.843639, 219.467377, 213.608229 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 205.0, "volume": 411472, "typical_volume": 406286.0, "trend": 206.185806, "fair_value": 152.082818, "relative_strength": -6.282044, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.557091, "energy": 25.178745, "activity_lines": [ 207.66667, 213.58182, 218.540198, 213.577214 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 207.600006, "volume": 308281, "typical_volume": 386041.4, "trend": 206.898216, "fair_value": 152.880433, "relative_strength": -6.676793, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.681483, "energy": 24.840257, "activity_lines": [ 207.066671, 211.429094, 217.767942, 213.668453 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }