{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a944a997-8ce2-40fb-a8c8-7f550920a5f8", "symbol": "UNIVASTU", "name": "Univastu India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.864, "architecture_energy": 94.537, "architecture_maturity": 42.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.124, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 88.25, "upward_expansion": 99.98, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.02, "downward_expansion": 21.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 128.060667, 113.858183, 97.654097, 88.73656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 134.75, "trend_reference": 78.905334, "distance_from_trend": 0.707743, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 68.457949, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.968362, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 74.889909, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.198564, "excess_performance": 1.242273, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.707743, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.177235, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.968362, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.802023, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.748899, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.727226, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.198564, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.080669, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1241544, "relative_activity": 2.230951, "balance": 3.080669, "dry_up": 1.892806, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075667, "annualized_volatility": 0.448855, "from_high_reference": -0.104651, "from_low_reference": 1.405391 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 78.905334, "fair_value_reference": 68.457949, "structural_low": 56.02, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.030653, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.027761, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.452496, "worst_return": -0.106347, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.06264, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.096568, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.702878, "worst_return": -0.223818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.07791, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.01271, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.479043, "worst_return": -0.152456, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 97.113823, "energy": 97.724167, "activity_lines": [ 100.296003, 92.016366, 82.689716, 77.698861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 123.68, "volume": 769057, "typical_volume": 484479.95, "trend": 74.313334, "fair_value": 67.149615, "relative_strength": 70.171393, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.02136, "energy": 98.187104, "activity_lines": [ 109.618002, 98.898729, 87.241859, 81.001507 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 136.0, "volume": 860137, "typical_volume": 504890.45, "trend": 76.543334, "fair_value": 67.806667, "relative_strength": 80.108029, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.98647, "energy": 98.433535, "activity_lines": [ 120.742668, 107.082365, 92.67662, 84.981291 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 134.75, "volume": 1241544, "typical_volume": 556508.8, "trend": 78.905334, "fair_value": 68.457949, "relative_strength": 74.889909, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.863755, "energy": 94.537003, "activity_lines": [ 128.060667, 113.858183, 97.654097, 88.73656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }