{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a947e17e-3076-46dc-83fb-f4ae93073e93", "symbol": "688017", "name": "Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.782, "architecture_energy": 25.008, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.914, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.41, "rotation_up": 20.8, "upward_expansion": 54.82, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 41.56, "downward_expansion": 23.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 326.433333, 354.894765, 339.056603, 310.007852 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 347.76001, "trend_reference": 275.803548, "distance_from_trend": 0.260898, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 154.288844, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.253954, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 55.396108, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.518603, "excess_performance": 0.561806, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.260898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.341368, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.253954, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.317476, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.553961, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112563, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.518603, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.183935, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65502593, "relative_activity": 1.500742, "balance": 1.183935, "dry_up": 1.340832, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201703, "annualized_volatility": 0.909465, "from_high_reference": -0.298029, "from_low_reference": 1.735037 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 275.803548, "fair_value_reference": 154.288844, "structural_low": 176.100006, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.076788, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.068366, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.66618, "worst_return": -0.18421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.141803, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.159946, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.967761, "worst_return": -0.363289, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.021856, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061141, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.951703, "worst_return": -0.178553, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 266.142548, "fair_value": 151.827426, "relative_strength": 40.85666, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.532209, "energy": 31.1119, "activity_lines": [ 356.044527, 369.680636, 333.298616, 302.610911 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 303.649994, "volume": 53192425, "typical_volume": 41333419.7, "trend": 270.614881, "fair_value": 152.885363, "relative_strength": 42.02338, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.887954, "energy": 23.914296, "activity_lines": [ 331.699929, 357.929063, 334.32868, 305.030747 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 347.76001, "volume": 65502593, "typical_volume": 43646799.05, "trend": 275.803548, "fair_value": 154.288844, "relative_strength": 55.396108, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.781747, "energy": 25.00824, "activity_lines": [ 326.433333, 354.894765, 339.056603, 310.007852 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }