{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a94b5e45-4c5f-414a-b520-3d84f7b15dda", "symbol": "PSREUA", "name": "UBS MSCI Pacific Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.189, "architecture_energy": 68.914, "architecture_maturity": 45.124, "architecture_confidence": 77.173, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.51, "rotation_up": 68.56, "upward_expansion": 86.72, "deceleration": 60.18, "rotation_down": 21.6, "downward_expansion": 11.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.809334, 84.986545, 83.097238, 81.564733 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 88.529999, "trend_reference": 79.885028, "distance_from_trend": 0.108218, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.970359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247422, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.389664, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.142486, "excess_performance": -0.028406, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.108218, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043292, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247422, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097997, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.013897, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039651, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142486, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.854553, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38943, "relative_activity": 5.026654, "balance": 5.854553, "dry_up": 2.127257, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02366, "annualized_volatility": 0.156582, "from_high_reference": -0.001241, "from_low_reference": 0.252526 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 79.885028, "fair_value_reference": 70.970359, "structural_low": 72.550003, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.02286, "energy": 70.059352, "activity_lines": [ 84.318001, 83.709273, 81.879523, 80.622801 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 84.790001, "volume": 7936, "typical_volume": 7166.25, "trend": 79.533224, "fair_value": 70.798363, "relative_strength": -2.86766, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.086627, "energy": 57.599027, "activity_lines": [ 84.493335, 84.047636, 82.331762, 80.984296 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 88.529999, "volume": 38943, "typical_volume": 7747.3, "trend": 79.885028, "fair_value": 70.970359, "relative_strength": -1.389664, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.188502, "energy": 68.913563, "activity_lines": [ 85.809334, 84.986545, 83.097238, 81.564733 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }