{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a9507d25-0f3c-4469-8c74-c5819fadc017", "symbol": "IT", "name": "Gartner Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 6.007, "architecture_energy": 17.032, "architecture_maturity": 42.273, "architecture_confidence": 39.512, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.79, "rotation_up": 42.75, "upward_expansion": 26.72, "deceleration": 41.06, "rotation_down": 17.91, "downward_expansion": 51.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 157.813333, 148.804, 149.017667, 151.604495 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 185.6, "trend_reference": 159.739667, "distance_from_trend": 0.16189, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 361.679231, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.486838, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.128706, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.187232, "excess_performance": 0.061607, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.16189, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160925, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.486838, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093642, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.161287, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.294426, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.187232, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.397871, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10350423, "relative_activity": 1.392881, "balance": 2.397871, "dry_up": 1.023413, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103887, "annualized_volatility": 0.515634, "from_high_reference": -0.301854, "from_low_reference": 0.493763 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 159.739667, "fair_value_reference": 361.679231, "structural_low": 124.25, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.001845, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.000392, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.197414, "worst_return": -0.16068, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.096141, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.022152, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.246314, "worst_return": -0.192586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.073828, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.030579, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.308937, "worst_return": -0.495926, "sufficient": true 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.25276, "energy": 70.234192, "activity_lines": [ 134.634, 142.19, 147.431238, 154.813011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 140.19, "volume": 6737451, "typical_volume": 7452380.95, "trend": 168.424333, "fair_value": 365.208269, "relative_strength": -37.5816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.330863, "energy": 50.135649, "activity_lines": [ 136.018667, 140.928364, 146.334095, 152.753656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 140.5, "volume": 5605708, "typical_volume": 7387062.2, "trend": 164.687333, "fair_value": 363.859808, "relative_strength": -35.532453, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.969924, "energy": 38.676465, "activity_lines": [ 138.038667, 140.058727, 145.347476, 150.952086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 151.02, "volume": 7726105, "typical_volume": 7339404.45, "trend": 161.820333, "fair_value": 362.668718, "relative_strength": -29.939622, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.360621, "energy": 21.873641, "activity_lines": [ 142.698, 141.206, 145.498476, 150.070323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 185.6, "volume": 10350423, "typical_volume": 7430944.3, "trend": 159.739667, "fair_value": 361.679231, "relative_strength": -16.128706, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.006781, "energy": 17.032473, "activity_lines": [ 157.813333, 148.804, 149.017667, 151.604495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }