{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a9558faa-15f1-4694-b23b-7a970f617447", "symbol": "GPAT", "name": "GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 53.768, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.06, "architecture_energy": 41.148, "architecture_maturity": 10.314, "architecture_confidence": 76.464, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.04, "rotation_up": 56.68, "upward_expansion": 78.78, "deceleration": 53.12, "rotation_down": 16.37, "downward_expansion": 5.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.022667, 10.980182, 10.922476, 10.890923 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.16, "trend_reference": 10.846233, "distance_from_trend": 0.028929, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.484168, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.064462, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.427404, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.040075, "excess_performance": -0.147379, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028929, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008505, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.064462, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027679, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.094274, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064947, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.040075, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.749096, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1911, "relative_activity": 0.003316, "balance": 9.749096, "dry_up": 0.195707, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020609, "annualized_volatility": 0.048435, "from_high_reference": -0.07, "from_low_reference": 0.060333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.846233, "fair_value_reference": 10.484168, "structural_low": 10.74, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.00185, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.020899, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.009276, "worst_return": -0.006434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.018036, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.06378, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.022079, "worst_return": 0.013993, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.036381, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.122822, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.036381, "worst_return": 0.036381, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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427163, "typical_volume": 617889.8, "trend": 10.823233, "fair_value": 10.473875, "relative_strength": -7.090592, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.610383, "energy": 41.030483, "activity_lines": [ 10.969333, 10.930545, 10.889929, 10.86349 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.92, "volume": 21449, "typical_volume": 583094.1, "trend": 10.831567, "fair_value": 10.477968, "relative_strength": -7.175159, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.881135, "energy": 38.58972, "activity_lines": [ 10.957333, 10.934364, 10.895095, 10.869733 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.16, "volume": 1911, "typical_volume": 576318.15, "trend": 10.846233, "fair_value": 10.484168, "relative_strength": -9.427404, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.059891, "energy": 41.148323, "activity_lines": [ 11.022667, 10.980182, 10.922476, 10.890923 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }