{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a964378a-5196-494c-8eba-4dd46665eb0a", "symbol": "605287", "name": "Decai Decoration CO.,LTD", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.48, "architecture_energy": 63.863, "architecture_maturity": 7.804, "architecture_confidence": 70.195, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.63, "rotation_up": 10.58, "upward_expansion": 14.19, "deceleration": 37.55, "rotation_down": 64.86, "downward_expansion": 85.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.169933, 38.067493, 41.578798, 43.06106 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 40.93, "trend_reference": 44.131685, "distance_from_trend": -0.072548, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.054116, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.944038, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.111347, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.139403, "excess_performance": -0.096199, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072548, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099554, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.944038, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.377008, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.171113, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.891519, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.139403, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.712729, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41078495, "relative_activity": 1.557743, "balance": 0.712729, "dry_up": 0.970919, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.175899, "annualized_volatility": 0.996158, "from_high_reference": -0.397557, "from_low_reference": 1.685696 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.131685, "fair_value_reference": 21.054116, "structural_low": 27.469999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.009985, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.007156, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.171376, "worst_return": -0.182722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.04804, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.05475, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.178078, "worst_return": -0.163403, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.00739, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.138441, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.04358, "worst_return": -0.229498, 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"relative_strength": -8.814744, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.568847, "energy": 54.893108, "activity_lines": [ 36.102279, 38.99733, 42.733994, 43.791213 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.720001, "volume": 21336806, "typical_volume": 25337984.5, "trend": 43.631351, "fair_value": 20.901771, "relative_strength": 3.489356, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.315767, "energy": 67.472085, "activity_lines": [ 34.861746, 37.826775, 41.831086, 43.235341 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.93, "volume": 41078495, "typical_volume": 26370518.85, "trend": 44.131685, "fair_value": 21.054116, "relative_strength": 17.111347, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.480109, "energy": 63.863204, "activity_lines": [ 36.169933, 38.067493, 41.578798, 43.06106 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }