{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a9798796-1b93-431c-9d9e-5836ac80ecf5", "symbol": "688122", "name": "Western Superconducting Technologies Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.395, "architecture_energy": 53.92, "architecture_maturity": 46.907, "architecture_confidence": 87.901, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.15, "rotation_up": 20.65, "upward_expansion": 8.41, "deceleration": 51.12, "rotation_down": 56.82, "downward_expansion": 79.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.891945, 53.226465, 57.500855, 62.151061 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 53.16, "trend_reference": 69.35008, "distance_from_trend": -0.233454, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 51.75926, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027063, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.395118, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.372595, "excess_performance": -0.329391, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.233454, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075513, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.027063, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.29109, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213951, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156673, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.372595, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.813293, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 66057433, "relative_activity": 1.114685, "balance": 1.813293, "dry_up": 1.014257, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125152, "annualized_volatility": 0.518945, "from_high_reference": -0.516727, "from_low_reference": 0.148049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.35008, "fair_value_reference": 51.75926, "structural_low": 46.304631, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.016652, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.031293, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.280116, "worst_return": -0.201814, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.145691, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.053014, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.392531, "worst_return": -0.252353, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.06002, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.082433, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.207478, "worst_return": -0.361495, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 51.738121, "relative_strength": -25.846443, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.397006, "energy": 64.057138, "activity_lines": [ 53.614051, 56.139686, 60.916365, 65.809722 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.700001, "volume": 60198518, "typical_volume": 60824690.75, "trend": 70.75908, "fair_value": 51.722508, "relative_strength": -24.329138, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.455589, "energy": 58.995521, "activity_lines": [ 51.848558, 54.541824, 59.416734, 64.404813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.73, "volume": 52207239, "typical_volume": 59289078.35, "trend": 70.06408, "fair_value": 51.739599, "relative_strength": -19.970877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.331618, "energy": 56.672065, "activity_lines": [ 51.799732, 53.744144, 58.378152, 63.241647 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.16, "volume": 66057433, "typical_volume": 59261065.45, "trend": 69.35008, "fair_value": 51.75926, "relative_strength": -21.395118, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.395418, "energy": 53.919848, "activity_lines": [ 51.891945, 53.226465, 57.500855, 62.151061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }