{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a98a41b0-60a5-4716-a4ff-95a3f17a0eb0", "symbol": "6228", "name": "Pacific Image Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.595, "architecture_energy": 63.646, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.688, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.22, "rotation_up": 19.96, "upward_expansion": 12.19, "deceleration": 44.29, "rotation_down": 64.5, "downward_expansion": 87.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.866667, 18.398182, 19.688333, 20.777957 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.65, "trend_reference": 22.195, "distance_from_trend": -0.204776, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.993863, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.430532, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -51.710166, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.315891, "excess_performance": -0.757263, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.204776, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104499, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.430532, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144253, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.517102, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019075, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.315891, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.588787, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19106, "relative_activity": 0.241598, "balance": 0.588787, "dry_up": 0.260524, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09915, "annualized_volatility": 0.278047, "from_high_reference": -0.571602, "from_low_reference": 0.041298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.195, "fair_value_reference": 30.993863, "structural_low": 16.950001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.010183, "positive_rate": 0.424242, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.015235, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.874307, "worst_return": -0.234657, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.099794, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.079981, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 1.696391, "worst_return": -0.194093, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.085202, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.066405, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.870647, "worst_return": -0.168421, "sufficient": true 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31.11747, "relative_strength": -50.922614, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.867604, "energy": 60.461284, "activity_lines": [ 18.84, 19.49, 20.810952, 21.776452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.950001, "volume": 37220, "typical_volume": 80252.2, "trend": 22.768333, "fair_value": 31.072525, "relative_strength": -53.523607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.940248, "energy": 75.567118, "activity_lines": [ 18.16, 18.928182, 20.340238, 21.378065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.299999, "volume": 12085, "typical_volume": 79131.35, "trend": 22.483333, "fair_value": 31.034958, "relative_strength": -49.642821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.664901, "energy": 66.516391, "activity_lines": [ 18.076667, 18.700909, 20.031667, 21.089785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.65, "volume": 19106, "typical_volume": 79081.85, "trend": 22.195, "fair_value": 30.993863, "relative_strength": -51.710166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.595278, "energy": 63.646102, "activity_lines": [ 17.866667, 18.398182, 19.688333, 20.777957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }