{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a98e1f29-5891-4e65-8080-9fc7292032fb", "symbol": "NTSX", "name": "WISDOMTREE TRUST U S EFFICIENT CORE FUND", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.735, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.742, "architecture_energy": 45.693, "architecture_maturity": 52.594, "architecture_confidence": 62.655, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.96, "rotation_up": 47.5, "upward_expansion": 76.82, "deceleration": 67.53, "rotation_down": 26.3, "downward_expansion": 5.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.128133, 58.905321, 58.467378, 57.497769 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 60.6, "trend_reference": 56.445232, "distance_from_trend": 0.073607, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.895823, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.292226, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.207563, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.100317, "excess_performance": -0.025308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073607, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025353, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.292226, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003468, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022076, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004393, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.100317, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.143797, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 166331, "relative_activity": 0.736216, "balance": 2.143797, "dry_up": 0.709467, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025197, "annualized_volatility": 0.141561, "from_high_reference": -0.005498, "from_low_reference": 0.200273 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.445232, "fair_value_reference": 46.895823, "structural_low": 50.4885, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.0117, "positive_rate": 0.736842, "directional_follow_through": 0.736842, "median_excess_return": -0.003325, "regime_survival": 0.763158, "best_return": 0.055637, "worst_return": -0.072704, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.029614, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.010568, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.083842, "worst_return": -0.068266, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.057186, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.028302, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.134321, "worst_return": -0.201639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.919999, "energy": 43.450127, "activity_lines": [ 58.551695, 58.457897, 57.056701, 56.353808 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 58.78, "volume": 320224, "typical_volume": 245656.95, "trend": 55.774918, "fair_value": 46.166186, "relative_strength": -1.748987, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.809943, "energy": 44.480077, "activity_lines": [ 58.589378, 58.565883, 57.324915, 56.555796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 59.263, "volume": 147808, "typical_volume": 245584.55, "trend": 55.931983, "fair_value": 46.312871, "relative_strength": -2.255286, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.335889, "energy": 48.194242, "activity_lines": [ 58.844432, 58.723572, 57.619796, 56.780833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 58.65, "volume": 138807, "typical_volume": 242553.1, "trend": 56.071927, "fair_value": 46.454758, "relative_strength": -1.714176, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.418412, "energy": 43.203429, "activity_lines": [ 58.808959, 58.729619, 57.837304, 56.956189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 57.813, "volume": 138323, "typical_volume": 238078.75, "trend": 56.149896, "fair_value": 46.59004, "relative_strength": -2.492919, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.41441, "energy": 34.002187, "activity_lines": [ 58.482933, 58.576231, 57.958502, 57.068516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.48, "volume": 197690, "typical_volume": 229667.65, "trend": 56.27669, "fair_value": 46.735672, "relative_strength": -2.370458, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.833335, "energy": 29.617886, "activity_lines": [ 58.460533, 58.547517, 58.125057, 57.218846 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.6, "volume": 166331, "typical_volume": 225927.05, "trend": 56.445232, "fair_value": 46.895823, "relative_strength": -2.207563, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.741728, "energy": 45.693451, "activity_lines": [ 59.128133, 58.905321, 58.467378, 57.497769 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }