{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a995e659-0033-4abf-b32b-fac45bbf7c53", "symbol": "PRM", "name": "Proteome Sciences plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.487, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 19.048, "architecture_energy": 14.46, "architecture_maturity": 13.188, "architecture_confidence": 56.992, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.18, "rotation_up": 44.96, "upward_expansion": 42.92, "deceleration": 34.04, "rotation_down": 23.44, "downward_expansion": 12.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.018067, 0.017512, 0.016633, 0.016626 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.018, "trend_reference": 0.017737, "distance_from_trend": 0.014847, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.03339, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.460923, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.83252, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.016949, "excess_performance": -0.034286, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014847, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083218, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.460923, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.166015, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.188325, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.272383, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.016949, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.846925, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 681540, "relative_activity": 0.460296, "balance": 0.846925, "dry_up": 0.49673, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.421239, "annualized_volatility": 0.689373, "from_high_reference": -0.590909, "from_low_reference": 0.5 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.017737, "fair_value_reference": 0.03339, "structural_low": 0.012, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.010989, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": -0.002158, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.283626, "worst_return": -0.456772, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.020129, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.010099, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.187135, "worst_return": -0.445614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.086806, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.187153, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.933333, "worst_return": -0.429825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.206651, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.278509, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.935915, "worst_return": -0.520958, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.403509, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011628, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.075171, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.300493, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.218978, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.08982, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.072368, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.456772, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.108108, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.122807, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.494286, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019886, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.02, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.107692, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.0725, "volume": 452813, "typical_volume": 1138076.85, "trend": 0.052747, "fair_value": 0.047472, "relative_strength": 55.931221, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.848516, "energy": 7.895632, "activity_lines": [ 0.016477, 0.016021, 0.015761, 0.016707 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.019, "volume": 1359631, "typical_volume": 1504176.55, "trend": 0.018705, "fair_value": 0.034485, "relative_strength": -15.802272, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.288839, "energy": 7.833747, "activity_lines": [ 0.01741, 0.016621, 0.016057, 0.01672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.018, "volume": 566287, "typical_volume": 1517719.7, "trend": 0.018553, "fair_value": 0.034107, "relative_strength": -20.046111, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.379529, "energy": 8.619917, "activity_lines": [ 0.017777, 0.016948, 0.016252, 0.016675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.018, "volume": 334485, "typical_volume": 1518111.7, "trend": 0.018203, "fair_value": 0.03374, "relative_strength": -19.768545, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.691294, "energy": 8.297529, "activity_lines": [ 0.01795, 0.017257, 0.016444, 0.016639 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.018, "volume": 681540, "typical_volume": 1480655.0, "trend": 0.017737, "fair_value": 0.03339, "relative_strength": -18.83252, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.047986, "energy": 14.459792, "activity_lines": [ 0.018067, 0.017512, 0.016633, 0.016626 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }