{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a998682f-c8e5-4379-bc1c-dfb8a9cc3cff", "symbol": "NBIFIN", "name": "N.B.I. Industrial Finance Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 83.798, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.972, "architecture_energy": 64.366, "architecture_maturity": 8.138, "architecture_confidence": 80.661, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.15, "rotation_up": 67.23, "upward_expansion": 87.81, "deceleration": 45.58, "rotation_down": 10.96, "downward_expansion": 14.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 2174.093327, 2106.123626, 2034.830941, 1991.891175 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2120.100098, "trend_reference": 1969.023328, "distance_from_trend": 0.076727, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2224.522961, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.046942, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.116232, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.062068, "excess_performance": 0.105777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076727, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041368, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.046942, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003811, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011162, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070254, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.062068, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.936965, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2326, "relative_activity": 0.265166, "balance": 2.936965, "dry_up": 1.880162, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078418, "annualized_volatility": 0.43238, "from_high_reference": -0.291173, "from_low_reference": 0.377583 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1969.023328, "fair_value_reference": 2224.522961, "structural_low": 1539.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.019182, "positive_rate": 0.277778, "directional_follow_through": 0.277778, "median_excess_return": -0.046516, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.621683, "worst_return": -0.264342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.053908, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.100612, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.432425, "worst_return": -0.312891, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.042321, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.177216, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.225204, "worst_return": -0.254964, 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1969.023328, "fair_value": 2224.522961, "relative_strength": -1.116232, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.972293, "energy": 64.366403, "activity_lines": [ 2174.093327, 2106.123626, 2034.830941, 1991.891175 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }