{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a99b15c7-1de6-4a6a-8b32-377d5a6975bc", "symbol": "300307", "name": "Ningbo Cixing Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.704, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -1.129, "architecture_energy": 10.557, "architecture_maturity": 15.959, "architecture_confidence": 68.58, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 68.63, "rotation_up": 22.68, "upward_expansion": 9.5, "deceleration": 56.64, "rotation_down": 44.84, "downward_expansion": 44.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.910667, 7.022727, 7.084548, 7.046899 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.7, "trend_reference": 7.067339, "distance_from_trend": 0.089519, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.02639, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.095869, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.354944, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.075407, "excess_performance": 0.068007, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.089519, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004631, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.095869, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059047, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033549, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.26016, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.075407, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.734716, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 158935579, "relative_activity": 2.083009, "balance": 0.734716, "dry_up": 1.320038, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105794, "annualized_volatility": 0.495452, "from_high_reference": -0.122007, "from_low_reference": 0.325301 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.067339, "fair_value_reference": 7.02639, "structural_low": 5.81, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.008439, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.016352, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.264905, "worst_return": -0.254967, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.067477, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.008898, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.590201, "worst_return": -0.33678, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.054653, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.18029, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.910979, "worst_return": -0.097682, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"up", "direction": 22.088863, "energy": 11.771427, "activity_lines": [ 7.278667, 7.374909, 7.170323, 7.131291 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.42, "volume": 85302227, "typical_volume": 68233419.2, "trend": 7.094023, "fair_value": 7.030299, "relative_strength": -12.426391, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.961287, "energy": 24.840115, "activity_lines": [ 6.916, 7.203455, 7.110976, 7.08615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.07, "volume": 79848397, "typical_volume": 69156240.4, "trend": 7.058684, "fair_value": 7.028335, "relative_strength": -16.733532, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.897001, "energy": 41.637729, "activity_lines": [ 6.555333, 6.982364, 7.023244, 7.020084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.82, "volume": 78794586, "typical_volume": 70259174.5, "trend": 7.045686, "fair_value": 7.029814, "relative_strength": -4.240524, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.97811, "energy": 37.300269, "activity_lines": [ 6.582667, 6.918, 7.011609, 7.004685 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.7, "volume": 158935579, "typical_volume": 76300955.0, "trend": 7.067339, "fair_value": 7.02639, "relative_strength": 3.354944, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.129353, "energy": 10.557323, "activity_lines": [ 6.910667, 7.022727, 7.084548, 7.046899 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }