{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a99b81ff-cb31-47e5-9fe2-361f952cf9ab", "symbol": "AMIDO", "name": "Amido AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.583, "architecture_energy": 62.919, "architecture_maturity": 64.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.083, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.86, "rotation_up": 16.67, "upward_expansion": 11.88, "deceleration": 42.39, "rotation_down": 69.89, "downward_expansion": 89.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.468, 2.624545, 2.849476, 3.079677 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.39, "trend_reference": 3.454333, "distance_from_trend": -0.308115, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.135096, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.237663, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.738808, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.495781, "excess_performance": -0.557275, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.308115, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178648, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.237663, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.241081, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.477388, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145038, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.495781, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.30019, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60894, "relative_activity": 1.560194, "balance": 0.30019, "dry_up": 1.364395, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.188606, "annualized_volatility": 0.639145, "from_high_reference": -0.626563, "from_low_reference": 0.076577 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.454333, "fair_value_reference": 3.135096, "structural_low": 2.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.052134, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.678571, "median_excess_return": -0.057477, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.783784, "worst_return": -0.223333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.089506, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.131747, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 1.248649, "worst_return": -0.302752, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.213204, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.217075, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.353591, "worst_return": -0.325773, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.142157, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.081081, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.14, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.169697, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.010471, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"2026-07-17", "close": 2.55, "volume": 34669, "typical_volume": 35533.65, "trend": 3.71, "fair_value": 3.147083, "relative_strength": -43.161184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.280842, "energy": 74.288271, "activity_lines": [ 2.684, 2.857636, 3.059524, 3.305247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.55, "volume": 59139, "typical_volume": 36066.5, "trend": 3.628333, "fair_value": 3.142917, "relative_strength": -43.52917, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.939816, "energy": 70.963871, "activity_lines": [ 2.594, 2.782, 2.990857, 3.230409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.45, "volume": 58306, "typical_volume": 36626.35, "trend": 3.548, "fair_value": 3.139006, "relative_strength": -45.920906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.051527, "energy": 69.750243, "activity_lines": [ 2.530667, 2.703273, 2.919476, 3.154387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.39, "volume": 60894, "typical_volume": 39029.75, "trend": 3.454333, "fair_value": 3.135096, "relative_strength": -47.738808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.583352, "energy": 62.918633, "activity_lines": [ 2.468, 2.624545, 2.849476, 3.079677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }