{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a9a3e085-7291-479a-8a58-7b6327905c23",
    "symbol": "USPA",
    "name": "Franklin S&P 500 Paris Aligned Climate UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.145,
    "architecture_energy": 58.008,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.873,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.421,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.95,
        "rotation_up": 51.54,
        "upward_expansion": 79.8,
        "deceleration": 70.24,
        "rotation_down": 27.81,
        "downward_expansion": 8.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 63.544998,
    "trend_reference": 58.228667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091301,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 48.886138,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299857,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.433022,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.128485,
    "excess_performance": 0.07725,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091301,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027217,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.299857,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017207,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02433,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007511,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128485,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 18.413221,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 351,
      "relative_activity": 0.040958,
      "balance": 18.413221,
      "dry_up": 0.172465,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021378,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.139487,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005088,
      "from_low_reference": 0.231731
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 48.886138,
      "structural_low": 51.59,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.010899,
        "positive_rate": 0.709677,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.709677,
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        "best_return": 0.062626,
        "worst_return": -0.091093,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.056606,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.019898,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.952412,
        "energy": 26.054384,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.025,
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          55.425619,
          55.726935
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 58.459999,
        "volume": 1348,
        "typical_volume": 7165.7,
        "trend": 56.042833,
        "fair_value": 46.566154,
        "relative_strength": -0.549275,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.038969,
        "energy": 43.814479,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 1311,
        "typical_volume": 7066.7,
        "trend": 56.191333,
        "fair_value": 46.739167,
        "relative_strength": 3.184164,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 49.326145,
        "energy": 62.420783,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 60.200001,
        "volume": 22993,
        "typical_volume": 8077.65,
        "trend": 56.354,
        "fair_value": 46.909167,
        "relative_strength": 3.941978,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.700089,
        "energy": 89.474084,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 61.130001,
        "volume": 3661,
        "typical_volume": 6179.7,
        "trend": 56.5195,
        "fair_value": 47.084071,
        "relative_strength": 2.733004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.973414,
        "energy": 93.474183,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 62.075001,
        "volume": 1166,
        "typical_volume": 6174.25,
        "trend": 56.685833,
        "fair_value": 47.260545,
        "relative_strength": 4.785177,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 94.26341,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 61.209999,
        "volume": 1335,
        "typical_volume": 6209.35,
        "trend": 56.879833,
        "fair_value": 47.430769,
        "relative_strength": 3.661838,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.381091,
        "energy": 87.65212,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 60.875,
        "volume": 307,
        "typical_volume": 5972.8,
        "trend": 57.03,
        "fair_value": 47.592131,
        "relative_strength": 2.032659,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 5573.35,
        "trend": 57.2395,
        "fair_value": 47.759167,
        "relative_strength": 3.509457,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 65.958869,
        "energy": 75.867889,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 60.389999,
        "volume": 432,
        "typical_volume": 5216.35,
        "trend": 57.359,
        "fair_value": 47.916891,
        "relative_strength": 0.839526,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.517931,
        "energy": 59.529724,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.914,
          60.780364,
          58.923095,
          58.084258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 61.630001,
        "volume": 74,
        "typical_volume": 4669.05,
        "trend": 57.505333,
        "fair_value": 48.084087,
        "relative_strength": 1.308586,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.560487,
        "energy": 60.053722,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.076667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 61.720001,
        "volume": 102100,
        "typical_volume": 9337.0,
        "trend": 57.668333,
        "fair_value": 48.245978,
        "relative_strength": 3.191424,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.067044,
        "energy": 60.962966,
        "activity_lines": [
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          59.691024,
          58.631721
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 61.134998,
        "volume": 4121,
        "typical_volume": 9439.7,
        "trend": 57.810333,
        "fair_value": 48.402692,
        "relative_strength": 1.23708,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.372066,
        "energy": 57.642494,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.292333,
          61.226545,
          59.980976,
          58.855376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 60.540001,
        "volume": 915,
        "typical_volume": 9395.3,
        "trend": 57.908333,
        "fair_value": 48.553446,
        "relative_strength": -0.955717,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.954473,
        "energy": 48.462046,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.07,
          61.115182,
          60.189048,
          59.031484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.779999,
        "volume": 525,
        "typical_volume": 9028.75,
        "trend": 58.035333,
        "fair_value": 48.708878,
        "relative_strength": -1.730031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.055584,
        "energy": 41.077696,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.969,
          61.041273,
          60.394071,
          59.216753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.544998,
        "volume": 351,
        "typical_volume": 8569.85,
        "trend": 58.228667,
        "fair_value": 48.886138,
        "relative_strength": 2.433022,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.144561,
        "energy": 58.007623,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.763666,
          61.476454,
          60.830285,
          59.572215
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}