{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a9ab6c97-7dd5-459e-a6f8-47097f8e5abb", "symbol": "300384", "name": "Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.71, "architecture_energy": 44.805, "architecture_maturity": 97.445, "architecture_confidence": 64.785, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.54, "rotation_up": 27.2, "upward_expansion": 19.21, "deceleration": 66.88, "rotation_down": 43.04, "downward_expansion": 69.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.919333, 11.858918, 12.474452, 13.415655 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.23, "trend_reference": 14.682415, "distance_from_trend": -0.167031, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.439424, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.207872, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.146127, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.29753, "excess_performance": -0.30493, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.167031, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090365, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.207872, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13447, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251461, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057309, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.29753, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.515697, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14655356, "relative_activity": 1.011068, "balance": 0.515697, "dry_up": 1.096491, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079691, "annualized_volatility": 0.416898, "from_high_reference": -0.393954, "from_low_reference": 0.102813 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.682415, "fair_value_reference": 15.439424, "structural_low": 11.089824, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.039026, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.008274, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.284082, "worst_return": -0.117985, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.044937, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.019546, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.251592, "worst_return": -0.261303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.017973, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.017362, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.256782, "worst_return": -0.300049, "sufficient": true 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.38865, "energy": 64.198922, "activity_lines": [ 11.755708, 12.002142, 13.003344, 14.011756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.11, "volume": 13950151, "typical_volume": 16280846.55, "trend": 14.936748, "fair_value": 15.483847, "relative_strength": -31.247354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.45753, "energy": 65.626132, "activity_lines": [ 11.521444, 11.771371, 12.721142, 13.754568 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.27, "volume": 19550247, "typical_volume": 15410976.5, "trend": 14.816415, "fair_value": 15.460262, "relative_strength": -22.02679, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.676649, "energy": 55.913362, "activity_lines": [ 11.765081, 11.806054, 12.585083, 13.58252 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.23, "volume": 14655356, "typical_volume": 14494925.65, "trend": 14.682415, "fair_value": 15.439424, "relative_strength": -25.146127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.709808, "energy": 44.805014, "activity_lines": [ 11.919333, 11.858918, 12.474452, 13.415655 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }