{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a9ce02cd-9952-4374-961a-169ee4611817",
    "symbol": "ZDM",
    "name": "BMO MSCI EAFE Hedged to CAD Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.761,
    "architecture_energy": 57.433,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.926,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.203,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.91,
        "rotation_up": 61.44,
        "upward_expansion": 83.96,
        "deceleration": 57.78,
        "rotation_down": 23.6,
        "downward_expansion": 8.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 39.709999,
    "trend_reference": 37.059088,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.071532,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.664639,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.294977,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.816427,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.087185,
    "excess_performance": -0.033236,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071532,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03794,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.294977,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044469,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008164,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025015,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087185,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.021963,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 90800,
      "relative_activity": 1.360707,
      "balance": 2.021963,
      "dry_up": 1.049378,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022724,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.148562,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.243243
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 30.664639,
      "structural_low": 33.959171,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.011868,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004815,
        "regime_survival": 0.795455,
        "best_return": 0.076464,
        "worst_return": -0.055338,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.03918,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "worst_return": -0.088136,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.043108,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "relative_strength": -4.201326,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 113571.55,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 114720.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 115285.0,
        "trend": 35.704467,
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        "relative_strength": -3.077193,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 111665.0,
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        "relative_strength": -2.982718,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 107855.0,
        "trend": 35.938937,
        "fair_value": 29.926688,
        "relative_strength": -2.117218,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 68.645361,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -1.432294,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.613911,
        "energy": 69.512825,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 23400,
        "typical_volume": 92625.0,
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        "relative_strength": 0.076049,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 79.731703,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 85305.0,
        "trend": 36.553528,
        "fair_value": 30.299197,
        "relative_strength": -0.591113,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.667191,
        "energy": 77.846887,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.34,
        "volume": 63200,
        "typical_volume": 83805.0,
        "trend": 36.672856,
        "fair_value": 30.386692,
        "relative_strength": -1.520794,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.536565,
        "energy": 60.097293,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.62133,
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          37.630211,
          37.208613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.610001,
        "volume": 63200,
        "typical_volume": 77890.0,
        "trend": 36.80052,
        "fair_value": 30.474416,
        "relative_strength": -0.99519,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.011646,
        "energy": 50.7502,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.601867,
          38.44308,
          37.788525,
          37.33359
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.849998,
        "volume": 62900,
        "typical_volume": 70015.0,
        "trend": 36.928402,
        "fair_value": 30.567282,
        "relative_strength": 0.11021,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.481852,
        "energy": 48.320835,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.688,
          38.563115,
          37.955887,
          37.465815
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.709999,
        "volume": 90800,
        "typical_volume": 66730.0,
        "trend": 37.059088,
        "fair_value": 30.664639,
        "relative_strength": -0.816427,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.761131,
        "energy": 57.43333,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.016666,
          38.8121,
          38.188163,
          37.645272
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}