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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.992, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.686, "architecture_energy": 54.2, "architecture_maturity": 30.429, "architecture_confidence": 84.775, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.58, "rotation_up": 53.45, "upward_expansion": 82.22, "deceleration": 63.91, "rotation_down": 25.78, "downward_expansion": 8.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 179.514669, 178.501187, 169.524033, 165.015004 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 184.309998, "trend_reference": 163.555633, "distance_from_trend": 0.126895, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 137.553873, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.339911, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.267141, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.087311, "excess_performance": 0.144359, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.126895, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000194, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.339911, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.243532, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.052671, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.338598, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087311, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 23.096154, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3, "relative_activity": 0.02259, "balance": 23.096154, "dry_up": 0.060241, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048291, "annualized_volatility": 0.423083, "from_high_reference": -0.053607, "from_low_reference": 0.436357 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 163.555633, "fair_value_reference": 137.553873, "structural_low": 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"activity_lines": [ 160.888779, 152.326989, 151.801618, 157.313788 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 166.874201, "volume": 7, "typical_volume": 231.05, "trend": 163.31955, "fair_value": 132.432015, "relative_strength": -7.738013, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.794377, "energy": 43.283803, "activity_lines": [ 164.664185, 155.694361, 152.84113, 157.540508 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 169.35992, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 230.3, "trend": 163.479884, "fair_value": 133.01416, "relative_strength": -4.496812, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.793549, "energy": 52.962737, "activity_lines": [ 167.630824, 159.098879, 154.170405, 157.930209 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 176.388322, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 229.95, "trend": 163.709538, "fair_value": 133.641051, "relative_strength": -2.759105, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.812304, "energy": 71.558161, "activity_lines": [ 171.427137, 163.428743, 156.18548, 158.763012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 188.119995, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 227.75, "trend": 164.330249, "fair_value": 134.343145, "relative_strength": 3.457872, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.694495, "energy": 78.017178, "activity_lines": [ 177.043014, 169.364943, 159.285103, 160.33788 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 180.5, "volume": 24, "typical_volume": 228.3, "trend": 164.665966, "fair_value": 134.996393, "relative_strength": -2.274787, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.364393, "energy": 72.506326, "activity_lines": [ 179.315932, 172.896052, 161.592917, 161.38109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 175.690002, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 154.8, "trend": 164.466109, "fair_value": 135.618808, "relative_strength": -2.014248, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.431482, "energy": 59.964224, "activity_lines": [ 179.129771, 174.676373, 163.442494, 162.092318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 174.070007, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 147.15, "trend": 164.019966, "fair_value": 136.230838, "relative_strength": -2.498538, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.515981, "energy": 50.635628, "activity_lines": [ 177.81589, 175.555315, 165.070214, 162.711924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 179.270004, "volume": 9, "typical_volume": 141.0, "trend": 163.862299, "fair_value": 136.876202, "relative_strength": -1.138656, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.160296, "energy": 42.040423, "activity_lines": [ 177.921337, 176.881403, 167.121409, 163.695798 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 184.309998, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 132.8, "trend": 163.555633, "fair_value": 137.553873, "relative_strength": 5.267141, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.68561, "energy": 54.199799, "activity_lines": [ 179.514669, 178.501187, 169.524033, 165.015004 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }