{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a9da66fa-166e-42f4-bf8e-450c4ea5aad5",
    "symbol": "SHEL",
    "name": "Shell PLC ADR",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 47.998,
    "architecture_energy": 45.951,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.617,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.366,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.66,
        "rotation_up": 70.32,
        "upward_expansion": 69.83,
        "deceleration": 56.54,
        "rotation_down": 8.75,
        "downward_expansion": 13.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        85.200272
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 88.5,
    "trend_reference": 83.838103,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055606,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 67.969241,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30206,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.47512,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.19723,
    "excess_performance": 0.071605,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055606,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051005,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30206,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029657,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004751,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00944,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.19723,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.321995,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 34992492,
      "relative_activity": 0.981373,
      "balance": 2.321995,
      "dry_up": 1.003349,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046918,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.252909,
      "from_high_reference": -0.05894,
      "from_low_reference": 0.313508
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 67.969241,
      "structural_low": 74.941698,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.075196,
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        "worst_return": -0.002869,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.007831,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 1.888394,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 66.753867,
        "relative_strength": -7.491948,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 78.02,
        "volume": 24934557,
        "typical_volume": 35702367.55,
        "trend": 81.118432,
        "fair_value": 66.914836,
        "relative_strength": -7.577141,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 36186954.75,
        "trend": 81.492284,
        "fair_value": 67.096935,
        "relative_strength": -3.837532,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.248737,
        "energy": 49.815409,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 87.32,
        "volume": 31146776,
        "typical_volume": 36278755.8,
        "trend": 82.045947,
        "fair_value": 67.298642,
        "relative_strength": 3.568335,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.399766,
        "energy": 20.203889,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.096667,
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          84.069224,
          83.845511
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 88.38,
        "volume": 34125650,
        "typical_volume": 35861772.9,
        "trend": 82.60909,
        "fair_value": 67.518686,
        "relative_strength": 5.273031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.09071,
        "energy": 28.184334,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.696,
          83.266909,
          84.332687,
          84.25416
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 91.98,
        "volume": 42839500,
        "typical_volume": 36092549.1,
        "trend": 83.206161,
        "fair_value": 67.760613,
        "relative_strength": 8.183295,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.328903,
        "energy": 47.706974,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.857333,
          84.86,
          84.917839,
          84.858734
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 88.5,
        "volume": 34992492,
        "typical_volume": 35656679.55,
        "trend": 83.838103,
        "fair_value": 67.969241,
        "relative_strength": 0.47512,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.998029,
        "energy": 45.950619,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.828667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}