{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a9e2281d-8ade-4be2-9b2b-70cad0361086",
    "symbol": "DGIN",
    "name": "VANECK ETF TR VANECK DIGITAL INDIA ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 90.955,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 44.123,
    "architecture_energy": 40.928,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.497,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.984,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.26,
        "rotation_up": 58.91,
        "upward_expansion": 55.69,
        "deceleration": 28.64,
        "rotation_down": 23.96,
        "downward_expansion": 14.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.13682,
        35.806684,
        35.119927,
        34.753906
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 36.911,
    "trend_reference": 34.946667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.056209,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 38.510577,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.041536,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.499457,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.03612,
    "excess_performance": -0.161745,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056209,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052994,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041536,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048702,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124995,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091165,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03612,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.368781,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7597,
      "relative_activity": 0.501758,
      "balance": 1.368781,
      "dry_up": 0.413569,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038852,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.220844,
      "from_high_reference": -0.14178,
      "from_low_reference": 0.222219
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.946667,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.510577,
      "structural_low": 30.2,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.022942,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043458,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.030865,
        "worst_return": -0.076748,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.050088,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.133571,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.050088,
        "worst_return": -0.050088,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.016104,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.16712,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.016104,
        "worst_return": -0.016104,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.204879,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.450014,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.204879,
        "worst_return": -0.204879,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.025751,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.06866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.087929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.045712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001708,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.036922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.078349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.072868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029914,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": null,
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      },
      {
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      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 34.0061,
        "volume": 28571,
        "typical_volume": 34028.3,
        "trend": 37.995101,
        "fair_value": 38.031181,
        "relative_strength": -21.798761,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -48.697939,
        "energy": 43.962562,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 33587.35,
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        "fair_value": 38.069232,
        "relative_strength": -22.366885,
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        "energy": 30.430682,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 34.6745,
        "volume": 11900,
        "typical_volume": 32957.55,
        "trend": 37.622371,
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        "energy": 30.767503,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 33.328,
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        "typical_volume": 33111.4,
        "trend": 37.363192,
        "fair_value": 38.148647,
        "relative_strength": -24.193756,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -40.277979,
        "energy": 26.1737,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 18081,
        "typical_volume": 33465.65,
        "trend": 37.110405,
        "fair_value": 38.179131,
        "relative_strength": -22.905587,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -37.627173,
        "energy": 24.789157,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 34.6426,
        "volume": 21461,
        "typical_volume": 33681.25,
        "trend": 36.902267,
        "fair_value": 38.209964,
        "relative_strength": -21.700017,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 33.6463,
        "volume": 17159,
        "typical_volume": 33864.65,
        "trend": 36.678463,
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        "relative_strength": -21.332167,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.428111,
        "energy": 22.776781,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 34.12,
        "volume": 10435,
        "typical_volume": 32947.7,
        "trend": 36.436212,
        "fair_value": 38.263782,
        "relative_strength": -20.013383,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "direction": -2.055025,
        "energy": 9.424502,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 35.148,
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        "typical_volume": 30299.3,
        "trend": 36.031145,
        "fair_value": 38.327397,
        "relative_strength": -15.034243,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -5.657608,
        "energy": 10.678774,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.80968,
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          33.95977,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 35.6077,
        "volume": 5224,
        "typical_volume": 28987.1,
        "trend": 35.830252,
        "fair_value": 38.360868,
        "relative_strength": -15.094183,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 15.967422,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.139953,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 36.235,
        "volume": 17788,
        "typical_volume": 28377.65,
        "trend": 35.670792,
        "fair_value": 38.390323,
        "relative_strength": -14.154678,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 11.624512,
        "energy": 31.911944,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.614987,
          35.040745,
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          34.59877
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 35.8389,
        "volume": 4413,
        "typical_volume": 21314.9,
        "trend": 35.45019,
        "fair_value": 38.419814,
        "relative_strength": -13.180078,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.574053,
        "energy": 44.130885,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.785407,
          35.25096,
          34.54629,
          34.609616
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.6487,
        "volume": 5822,
        "typical_volume": 16499.9,
        "trend": 35.224073,
        "fair_value": 38.444061,
        "relative_strength": -15.002801,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.305005,
        "energy": 31.774741,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.4445,
          35.223604,
          34.620956,
          34.557907
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.4096,
        "volume": 7215,
        "typical_volume": 15851.1,
        "trend": 35.05854,
        "fair_value": 38.475093,
        "relative_strength": -11.132514,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.386894,
        "energy": 35.91019,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.749147,
          35.492398,
          34.856694,
          34.634393
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.911,
        "volume": 7597,
        "typical_volume": 15140.75,
        "trend": 34.946667,
        "fair_value": 38.510577,
        "relative_strength": -12.499457,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.123285,
        "energy": 40.92815,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.13682,
          35.806684,
          35.119927,
          34.753906
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}