{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a9ebd06e-47ae-40da-af73-0d2ca9fd5375", "symbol": "GAL", "name": "STATE STREET GLOBAL ALLOCATION ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 51.537, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.855, "architecture_energy": 42.935, "architecture_maturity": 16.888, "architecture_confidence": 77.019, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.89, "rotation_up": 49.95, "upward_expansion": 78.83, "deceleration": 55.09, "rotation_down": 24.59, "downward_expansion": 5.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.970773, 52.833978, 52.639046, 52.175333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 53.7933, "trend_reference": 51.646931, "distance_from_trend": 0.041558, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.190375, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.217308, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.583109, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.054229, "excess_performance": -0.071396, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041558, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024274, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.217308, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015401, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.045831, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016036, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.054229, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.895603, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30164, "relative_activity": 0.517155, "balance": 0.895603, "dry_up": 0.808483, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01803, "annualized_volatility": 0.100981, "from_high_reference": -0.017975, "from_low_reference": 0.161992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.646931, "fair_value_reference": 44.190375, "structural_low": 48.43, "invalidation": "A 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 52.3047, "volume": 41863, "typical_volume": 60202.85, "trend": 51.427775, "fair_value": 43.981989, "relative_strength": -3.114245, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.592548, "energy": 23.678739, "activity_lines": [ 52.566367, 52.637301, 52.38035, 51.951047 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.64, "volume": 88378, "typical_volume": 61539.65, "trend": 51.529101, "fair_value": 44.081901, "relative_strength": -3.452549, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.121724, "energy": 24.731164, "activity_lines": [ 52.58402, 52.630818, 52.462149, 52.029255 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.7933, "volume": 30164, "typical_volume": 58326.85, "trend": 51.646931, "fair_value": 44.190375, "relative_strength": -4.583109, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.855217, "energy": 42.935051, "activity_lines": [ 52.970773, 52.833978, 52.639046, 52.175333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }