{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa293480-f3c8-44af-81ab-e97582b5142d", "symbol": "ULS", "name": "UL Solutions Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 51.871, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -40.37, "architecture_energy": 47.856, "architecture_maturity": 46.545, "architecture_confidence": 81.565, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.72, "rotation_up": 14.56, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 53.33, "rotation_down": 68.03, "downward_expansion": 49.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.118667, 88.624, 91.770958, 90.329501 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 78.21, "trend_reference": 86.847777, "distance_from_trend": -0.099459, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 65.2021, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.199501, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.731508, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.097492, "excess_performance": -0.028133, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099459, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035192, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.109555, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.10799, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.125983, "worst_return": -0.137203, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.051218, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.130115, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.051218, "worst_return": 0.051218, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.242699, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.181041, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.242699, "worst_return": 0.242699, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"energy": 15.406496, "activity_lines": [ 93.404667, 95.402304, 94.013429, 90.539636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 87.76, "volume": 3519576, "typical_volume": 4213392.55, "trend": 86.486427, "fair_value": 64.700389, "relative_strength": -0.341944, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.176617, "energy": 13.469195, "activity_lines": [ 91.219333, 93.727029, 93.677965, 90.645576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 85.46, "volume": 3072817, "typical_volume": 4235308.2, "trend": 86.678243, "fair_value": 64.873385, "relative_strength": -2.456905, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.709226, "energy": 18.549095, "activity_lines": [ 88.878667, 91.861461, 93.104132, 90.579355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.64, "volume": 4028677, "typical_volume": 4266374.5, "trend": 87.044492, "fair_value": 65.094597, "relative_strength": 3.353373, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.855578, "energy": 19.468644, "activity_lines": [ 88.99, 91.363091, 93.097405, 90.899469 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 78.21, "volume": 9843397, "typical_volume": 4493410.05, "trend": 86.847777, "fair_value": 65.2021, "relative_strength": -14.731508, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.370111, "energy": 47.855623, "activity_lines": [ 85.118667, 88.624, 91.770958, 90.329501 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }