{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa35a1c2-1143-424e-a733-245d62942427", "symbol": "DAIO", "name": "Data I/O Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 95.383, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.842, "architecture_energy": 23.99, "architecture_maturity": 50.371, "architecture_confidence": 74.992, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.16, "rotation_up": 14.36, "upward_expansion": 14.75, "deceleration": 71.02, "rotation_down": 58.49, "downward_expansion": 39.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.056, 3.300364, 3.329429, 3.19614 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.98, "trend_reference": 3.08084, "distance_from_trend": -0.032731, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.003562, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.007845, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.324922, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.022951, "excess_performance": -0.210404, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032731, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052377, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.007845, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08201, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153249, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060251, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.022951, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.18363, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 165351, "relative_activity": 0.497381, "balance": 1.18363, "dry_up": 0.583737, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.182073, "annualized_volatility": 0.667179, "from_high_reference": -0.336303, "from_low_reference": 0.37963 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.08084, "fair_value_reference": 3.003562, "structural_low": 2.16, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.021609, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.032142, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.110333, "worst_return": -0.030973, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.032165, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.17086, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.251889, "worst_return": -0.196147, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.146045, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.242251, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.080605, "worst_return": -0.314685, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.373522, "energy": 46.834248, "activity_lines": [ 3.775333, 3.686545, 3.304619, 3.174089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.52, "volume": 280481, "typical_volume": 312734.75, "trend": 3.093173, "fair_value": 3.03369, "relative_strength": -2.399855, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.636984, "energy": 35.607447, "activity_lines": [ 3.691333, 3.689636, 3.348952, 3.202378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.35, "volume": 147791, "typical_volume": 312273.35, "trend": 3.105173, "fair_value": 3.026703, "relative_strength": -2.733673, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.791221, "energy": 23.948517, "activity_lines": [ 3.556, 3.648, 3.373667, 3.218948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.12, "volume": 178092, "typical_volume": 318689.6, "trend": 3.10184, "fair_value": 3.017536, "relative_strength": -7.460159, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.985013, "energy": 18.272118, "activity_lines": [ 3.389333, 3.554545, 3.373714, 3.219905 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.84, "volume": 285005, "typical_volume": 331034.7, "trend": 3.086507, "fair_value": 3.008882, "relative_strength": -15.699539, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.305616, "energy": 17.14891, "activity_lines": [ 3.168667, 3.411636, 3.345286, 3.203012 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.98, "volume": 165351, "typical_volume": 332443.6, "trend": 3.08084, "fair_value": 3.003562, "relative_strength": -15.324922, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.842287, "energy": 23.990441, "activity_lines": [ 3.056, 3.300364, 3.329429, 3.19614 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }