{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aa39e951-9fda-4f63-b359-82a5e7eb7b5b",
    "symbol": "YPFN",
    "name": "YPF Sociedad An\u00f3nima",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.926,
    "architecture_energy": 52.041,
    "architecture_maturity": 75.672,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.368,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.52,
        "rotation_up": 43.03,
        "upward_expansion": 72.9,
        "deceleration": 74.17,
        "rotation_down": 29.46,
        "downward_expansion": 13.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        880.556006,
        880.282375,
        865.160723,
        828.643124
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 900.0,
    "trend_reference": 775.834336,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.160041,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 556.486218,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.617291,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 26.926957,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.357466,
    "excess_performance": 0.412133,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160041,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104172,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.617291,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155734,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.26927,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230551,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.357466,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 257.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 257.0,
      "dry_up": 0.049068,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036041,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.452789,
      "from_high_reference": -0.076914,
      "from_low_reference": 1.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 775.834336,
      "fair_value_reference": 556.486218,
      "structural_low": 622.210022,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024807,
        "regime_survival": 0.357143,
        "best_return": 0.300144,
        "worst_return": -0.152632,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.259704,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.173011,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.382114,
        "worst_return": -0.222917,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.212079,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.25372,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.342105,
        "worst_return": -0.22027,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.606316,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.649651,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.734363,
        "worst_return": 0.518421,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.216332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.136293,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.197368,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.626374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.115182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.335497,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.050222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031104,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.060332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.274173,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.051112,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.057095,
        "active": true
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    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 666.949334,
        "fair_value": 502.888461,
        "relative_strength": 3.871867,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.689773,
        "energy": 53.254082,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 50,
        "typical_volume": 157.25,
        "trend": 677.046,
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        "relative_strength": 13.975883,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.170056,
        "energy": 46.783142,
        "activity_lines": [
          756.332666,
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          723.205141,
          704.081246
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 853,
        "typical_volume": 199.9,
        "trend": 689.009333,
        "fair_value": 510.593589,
        "relative_strength": 21.407911,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 65.102396,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 890.0,
        "volume": 351,
        "typical_volume": 217.45,
        "trend": 702.639333,
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        "relative_strength": 28.046022,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 79.549516,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": 42.961012,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 97.495859,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 974.98999,
        "volume": 11,
        "typical_volume": 218.0,
        "trend": 721.005666,
        "fair_value": 524.657627,
        "relative_strength": 40.562356,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.107478,
        "energy": 96.720415,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 877.030029,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 182.85,
        "trend": 732.207668,
        "fair_value": 532.632371,
        "relative_strength": 27.061098,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.061152,
        "energy": 86.60986,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 877.030029,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 182.85,
        "trend": 738.742002,
        "fair_value": 536.619743,
        "relative_strength": 26.849176,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.061025,
        "energy": 67.562331,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 851.390015,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 183.1,
        "trend": 744.421669,
        "fair_value": 540.442756,
        "relative_strength": 23.584687,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.413038,
        "energy": 47.400757,
        "activity_lines": [
          875.014022,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 851.390015,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 100.9,
        "trend": 751.754669,
        "fair_value": 544.265769,
        "relative_strength": 22.753498,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.584222,
        "energy": 39.456149,
        "activity_lines": [
          861.646021,
          880.927106,
          845.89358,
          804.535597
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 851.390015,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 100.9,
        "trend": 758.701003,
        "fair_value": 548.024679,
        "relative_strength": 22.592531,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.317469,
        "energy": 34.733975,
        "activity_lines": [
          856.518018,
          876.000562,
          850.394343,
          810.963684
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 900.0,
        "volume": 20,
        "typical_volume": 101.9,
        "trend": 767.26767,
        "fair_value": 552.255449,
        "relative_strength": 27.74384,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.291583,
        "energy": 42.078779,
        "activity_lines": [
          869.302678,
          878.686923,
          858.437056,
          820.079748
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 900.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 101.9,
        "trend": 775.834336,
        "fair_value": 556.486218,
        "relative_strength": 26.926957,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.926027,
        "energy": 52.041415,
        "activity_lines": [
          880.556006,
          880.282375,
          865.160723,
          828.643124
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}