{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa3f9b36-8565-4e00-8c23-d73abe13642e", "symbol": "JAIBALAJI", "name": "Jai Balaji Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.691, "architecture_energy": 61.03, "architecture_maturity": 4.491, "architecture_confidence": 89.648, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.71, "rotation_up": 12.55, "upward_expansion": 15.65, "deceleration": 34.96, "rotation_down": 67.23, "downward_expansion": 86.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.498001, 64.410001, 67.442239, 67.513979 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 65.610001, "trend_reference": 67.718667, "distance_from_trend": -0.031139, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 130.774423, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.498296, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.366958, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.1043, "excess_performance": -0.060591, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031139, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022551, "read": "Falling" 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53.650002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.014532, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.010605, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.352393, "worst_return": -0.296662, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.040146, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.06356, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.3733, "worst_return": -0.323027, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.045455, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.073363, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.102646, "worst_return": -0.38418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -17.487286, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.035607, "energy": 38.800028, "activity_lines": [ 64.732668, 66.385274, 68.68062, 68.334538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.709999, "volume": 1702167, "typical_volume": 7055973.35, "trend": 67.771, "fair_value": 130.638846, "relative_strength": -23.196332, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.6959, "energy": 68.873952, "activity_lines": [ 61.949334, 64.549273, 67.673953, 67.653398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.610001, "volume": 2203489, "typical_volume": 6473920.5, "trend": 67.718667, "fair_value": 130.774423, "relative_strength": -12.366958, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.69127, "energy": 61.030228, "activity_lines": [ 62.498001, 64.410001, 67.442239, 67.513979 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }