{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa4ae0eb-f3bb-4fb2-a63b-67613f76e713", "symbol": "WYNN", "name": "Wynn Resorts Limited", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.976, "architecture_energy": 22.572, "architecture_maturity": 13.852, "architecture_confidence": 90.134, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.01, "rotation_up": 23.13, "upward_expansion": 3.89, "deceleration": 50.88, "rotation_down": 44.47, "downward_expansion": 74.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.583333, 99.755818, 100.696792, 101.624502 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 102.54, "trend_reference": 103.791824, "distance_from_trend": -0.012061, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 96.818263, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059098, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.98808, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.126415, "excess_performance": -0.313869, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012061, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066438, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059098, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005032, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.199881, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031348, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.126415, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.684232, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10480138, "relative_activity": 1.458616, "balance": 1.684232, "dry_up": 1.096405, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069817, "annualized_volatility": 0.266228, "from_high_reference": -0.235095, "from_low_reference": 0.108352 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.791824, "fair_value_reference": 96.818263, "structural_low": 92.5157, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.007706, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.0257, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.374479, "worst_return": -0.130508, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.01856, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.026673, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.522848, "worst_return": -0.224561, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.023912, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.092446, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.646094, "worst_return": -0.219766, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 100.142667, 101.058807, 101.6916, 103.353201 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 96.64, "volume": 5570741, "typical_volume": 7586650.35, "trend": 105.931546, "fair_value": 96.852234, "relative_strength": -22.77943, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.595142, "energy": 51.019813, "activity_lines": [ 98.428, 100.280925, 101.180386, 102.687792 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 96.92, "volume": 8296531, "typical_volume": 7384881.4, "trend": 105.037317, "fair_value": 96.796394, "relative_strength": -20.872503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.902672, "energy": 53.109223, "activity_lines": [ 97.515333, 99.654182, 100.749494, 102.106401 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 99.31, "volume": 7163209, "typical_volume": 7078282.5, "trend": 104.282127, "fair_value": 96.785699, "relative_strength": -18.934085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.263949, "energy": 40.373147, "activity_lines": [ 97.973333, 99.430182, 100.567291, 101.736897 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 102.54, "volume": 10480138, "typical_volume": 7184989.15, "trend": 103.791824, "fair_value": 96.818263, "relative_strength": -19.98808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.976487, "energy": 22.572362, "activity_lines": [ 99.583333, 99.755818, 100.696792, 101.624502 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }