{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa4b6840-01d1-45da-b25c-7dd7f2bebc4e", "symbol": "DOM", "name": "Global Dominion Access, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.459, "architecture_energy": 76.858, "architecture_maturity": 24.632, "architecture_confidence": 87.718, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 12.68, "upward_expansion": 17.34, "deceleration": 38.67, "rotation_down": 76.79, "downward_expansion": 95.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.818333, 2.873756, 2.994104, 3.051198 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.795, "trend_reference": 3.133068, "distance_from_trend": -0.107903, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.059262, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.086381, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.417143, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.175516, "excess_performance": -0.299947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.107903, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032904, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.086381, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154331, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.254171, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174958, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.175516, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.590465, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1237961, "relative_activity": 1.055987, "balance": 0.590465, "dry_up": 1.21331, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046894, "annualized_volatility": 0.224883, "from_high_reference": -0.213783, "from_low_reference": 0.021938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.133068, "fair_value_reference": 3.059262, "structural_low": 2.735, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.005425, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.002745, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.156463, "worst_return": -0.06079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.041925, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.04499, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.166896, "worst_return": -0.080268, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.06006, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.057379, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.093647, "worst_return": 0.050167, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.029921, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.10981, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074074, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.061947, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.039308, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.848157, "energy": 75.792144, "activity_lines": [ 2.952304, 3.018358, 3.103714, 3.143022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.87, "volume": 1115355, "typical_volume": 1178296.9, "trend": 3.184401, "fair_value": 3.072884, "relative_strength": -21.768916, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.594999, "energy": 78.030738, "activity_lines": [ 2.918149, 2.980594, 3.07899, 3.121943 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.78, "volume": 1990214, "typical_volume": 1179774.65, "trend": 3.168901, "fair_value": 3.067671, "relative_strength": -24.891106, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.270019, "energy": 81.186724, "activity_lines": [ 2.862776, 2.934739, 3.047171, 3.095852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.835, "volume": 1346051, "typical_volume": 1180809.15, "trend": 3.153234, "fair_value": 3.063625, "relative_strength": -23.480505, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.317979, "energy": 75.440609, "activity_lines": [ 2.84412, 2.905157, 3.022019, 3.07431 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.795, "volume": 1237961, "typical_volume": 1172326.2, "trend": 3.133068, "fair_value": 3.059262, "relative_strength": -25.417143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.459417, "energy": 76.857982, "activity_lines": [ 2.818333, 2.873756, 2.994104, 3.051198 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }