{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa557c72-8683-4016-b7a2-685d0b75d90d", "symbol": "688659", "name": "Anhui Yuanchen Environmental Protection Science&Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 66.758, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.844, "architecture_energy": 66.748, "architecture_maturity": 7.244, "architecture_confidence": 80.971, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.51, "rotation_up": 9.57, "upward_expansion": 14.4, "deceleration": 37.44, "rotation_down": 73.05, "downward_expansion": 90.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.054, 9.398545, 9.941286, 10.106581 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.86, "trend_reference": 10.276667, "distance_from_trend": -0.040545, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.979423, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.098066, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.957039, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.058262, "excess_performance": -0.015058, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.040545, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014008, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.098066, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.196264, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.03957, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157404, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.058262, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.452855, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13263815, "relative_activity": 0.821619, "balance": 0.452855, "dry_up": 1.058193, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110626, "annualized_volatility": 0.502903, "from_high_reference": -0.233877, "from_low_reference": 0.328841 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.276667, "fair_value_reference": 8.979423, "structural_low": 7.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.031481, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.004811, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.311663, "worst_return": -0.262857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.03311, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.018961, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.619503, "worst_return": -0.436653, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.062268, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.081287, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.596774, "worst_return": -0.450089, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.952617, "energy": 15.78672, "activity_lines": [ 10.287333, 10.547091, 10.556762, 10.509333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.12, "volume": 23653491, "typical_volume": 15360947.35, "trend": 10.361667, "fair_value": 9.145321, "relative_strength": -3.621819, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.239774, "energy": 11.317381, "activity_lines": [ 10.263333, 10.410182, 10.515857, 10.494215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.54, "volume": 22000580, "typical_volume": 15900898.35, "trend": 10.337333, "fair_value": 9.091538, "relative_strength": -13.507097, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.724933, "energy": 44.410958, "activity_lines": [ 9.704667, 10.011636, 10.32819, 10.376688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.05, "volume": 18187278, "typical_volume": 16046015.25, "trend": 10.286333, "fair_value": 9.040192, "relative_strength": -19.264794, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.719894, "energy": 73.340783, "activity_lines": [ 9.055333, 9.588364, 10.106333, 10.229118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.79, "volume": 14880084, "typical_volume": 16158712.0, "trend": 10.263, "fair_value": 9.001218, "relative_strength": -12.061184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.49199, "energy": 73.131033, "activity_lines": [ 8.816667, 9.369091, 9.968095, 10.132581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.86, "volume": 13263815, "typical_volume": 16143506.65, "trend": 10.276667, "fair_value": 8.979423, "relative_strength": -3.957039, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.844321, "energy": 66.748455, "activity_lines": [ 9.054, 9.398545, 9.941286, 10.106581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }