{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aa5ae093-bcf5-42db-b7d6-e15d6622ca6a",
    "symbol": "STMPA",
    "name": "STMicroelectronics N.V.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 0.094,
    "architecture_energy": 27.923,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.405,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.623,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.79,
        "rotation_up": 14.03,
        "upward_expansion": 48.05,
        "deceleration": 88.0,
        "rotation_down": 49.57,
        "downward_expansion": 33.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        48.903999,
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        54.691319,
        49.774915
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 48.264999,
    "trend_reference": 42.710005,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.130063,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.089716,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.504064,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 33.119271,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.945637,
    "excess_performance": 0.892326,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130063,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.398296,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.504064,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082997,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.331193,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.551193,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.945637,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.17557,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13806561,
      "relative_activity": 1.062643,
      "balance": 1.17557,
      "dry_up": 1.298161,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.129393,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.548942,
      "from_high_reference": -0.291675,
      "from_low_reference": 1.671567
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.710005,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.089716,
      "structural_low": 25.405001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.047553,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039337,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.207592,
        "worst_return": -0.139863,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.005784,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.070185,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.045112,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012656,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.253327,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 1.242557,
        "worst_return": -0.116008,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 48.540043,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 18506893,
        "typical_volume": 12948511.95,
        "trend": 41.180808,
        "fair_value": 32.037463,
        "relative_strength": 37.614891,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.584999,
        "volume": 19878536,
        "typical_volume": 13173256.9,
        "trend": 41.921586,
        "fair_value": 32.048036,
        "relative_strength": 30.423785,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.971149,
        "energy": 27.94522,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.264999,
        "volume": 13806561,
        "typical_volume": 12992658.35,
        "trend": 42.710005,
        "fair_value": 32.089716,
        "relative_strength": 33.119271,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.093975,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}