{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa7a311c-2bb9-49c9-a9d3-a31c6bfee714", "symbol": "MSOX", "name": "ADVISORSHARES MSOS DAILY LEVERAGED ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.411, "architecture_energy": 56.131, "architecture_maturity": 20.452, "architecture_confidence": 90.07, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.35, "rotation_up": 10.48, "upward_expansion": 11.74, "deceleration": 38.34, "rotation_down": 65.04, "downward_expansion": 85.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.355333, 2.605818, 2.852095, 2.859333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.36, "trend_reference": 2.971, "distance_from_trend": -0.205655, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.322237, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.933187, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -53.078844, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.287009, "excess_performance": -0.412634, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205655, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163413, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.933187, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02254, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.530788, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240279, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.287009, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.557457, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6815594, "relative_activity": 0.516084, "balance": 0.557457, "dry_up": 0.611564, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.311532, "annualized_volatility": 0.961424, "from_high_reference": -0.820532, "from_low_reference": 0.425982 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.971, "fair_value_reference": 35.322237, "structural_low": 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10373433, "typical_volume": 13399772.75, "trend": 3.279, "fair_value": 36.722045, "relative_strength": -49.651895, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.415053, "energy": 22.883898, "activity_lines": [ 2.938667, 3.118545, 3.059381, 3.065957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.52, "volume": 9677192, "typical_volume": 13401449.9, "trend": 3.196, "fair_value": 36.356147, "relative_strength": -49.860114, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.643851, "energy": 27.981288, "activity_lines": [ 2.758, 2.998727, 3.020333, 3.016989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.29, "volume": 6485998, "typical_volume": 13229265.4, "trend": 3.117667, "fair_value": 35.995186, "relative_strength": -53.697916, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.528119, "energy": 47.151088, "activity_lines": [ 2.560667, 2.856909, 2.960476, 2.958538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.26, "volume": 9327385, "typical_volume": 13232745.1, "trend": 3.04, "fair_value": 35.636596, "relative_strength": -54.330586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.496992, "energy": 58.406624, "activity_lines": [ 2.42, 2.717818, 2.900667, 2.903204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.36, "volume": 6815594, "typical_volume": 13206363.5, "trend": 2.971, "fair_value": 35.322237, "relative_strength": -53.078844, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.411089, "energy": 56.131136, "activity_lines": [ 2.355333, 2.605818, 2.852095, 2.859333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }