{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa923b1e-9519-49bd-8651-6c7318d0f4f8", "symbol": "YONG", "name": "Yong Concrete Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.933, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.845, "architecture_energy": 12.513, "architecture_maturity": 40.378, "architecture_confidence": 74.138, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.08, "rotation_up": 26.4, "upward_expansion": 14.7, "deceleration": 50.7, "rotation_down": 40.87, "downward_expansion": 40.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.712, 0.714727, 0.716667, 0.717388 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.71, "trend_reference": 0.713374, "distance_from_trend": -0.00473, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.159137, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.387476, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.875569, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.073085, "excess_performance": -0.11924, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00473, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011106, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.387476, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037307, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148756, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030561, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.073085, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.1447, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 464100, "relative_activity": 0.391695, "balance": 0.1447, "dry_up": 2.220977, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045504, "annualized_volatility": 0.228931, "from_high_reference": -0.259571, "from_low_reference": 0.339623 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.713374, "fair_value_reference": 1.159137, "structural_low": 0.53, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.015, "positive_rate": 0.153846, "directional_follow_through": 0.153846, "median_excess_return": -0.021986, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.041667, "worst_return": -0.183007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.065926, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.086169, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.042857, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.29703, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.173782, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.08432, "worst_return": -0.368055, "sufficient": false }, { 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"gate": "up", "direction": 32.695777, "energy": 14.258833, "activity_lines": [ 0.718667, 0.715273, 0.71978, 0.715891 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.72, "volume": 2334200, "typical_volume": 981210.0, "trend": 0.708192, "fair_value": 1.19596, "relative_strength": -15.864478, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.204835, "energy": 17.41072, "activity_lines": [ 0.722, 0.715818, 0.719514, 0.716717 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.72, "volume": 8970900, "typical_volume": 1280385.0, "trend": 0.709178, "fair_value": 1.185996, "relative_strength": -16.308429, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.865844, "energy": 15.933013, "activity_lines": [ 0.722667, 0.716545, 0.719381, 0.717479 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.71, "volume": 961300, "typical_volume": 1234570.0, "trend": 0.71047, "fair_value": 1.176301, "relative_strength": -17.17472, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.226888, "energy": 12.027636, "activity_lines": [ 0.718, 0.715818, 0.718429, 0.717532 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.71, "volume": 129800, "typical_volume": 1228060.0, "trend": 0.711763, "fair_value": 1.16783, "relative_strength": -15.812075, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.330464, "energy": 6.286311, "activity_lines": [ 0.714667, 0.715091, 0.717524, 0.717501 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.71, "volume": 464100, "typical_volume": 1184850.0, "trend": 0.713374, "fair_value": 1.159137, "relative_strength": -14.875569, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.845178, "energy": 12.513201, "activity_lines": [ 0.712, 0.714727, 0.716667, 0.717388 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }