{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aa9c70b1-aa17-4761-897d-474887675cfe", "symbol": "002686", "name": "Zhejiang Yilida Ventilator Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.156, "architecture_energy": 28.346, "architecture_maturity": 63.095, "architecture_confidence": 86.539, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.25, "rotation_up": 27.15, "upward_expansion": 16.58, "deceleration": 46.64, "rotation_down": 33.69, "downward_expansion": 66.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.858667, 5.679975, 6.104444, 6.390404 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.34, "trend_reference": 6.658782, "distance_from_trend": -0.047874, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.948088, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.065889, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.315301, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.067647, "excess_performance": -0.075047, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.047874, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044194, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.065889, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.250124, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.083153, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031155, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.067647, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.7497, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 167986132, "relative_activity": 1.871845, "balance": 0.7497, "dry_up": 1.085763, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100515, "annualized_volatility": 0.496182, "from_high_reference": -0.251476, "from_low_reference": 0.283401 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.658782, "fair_value_reference": 5.948088, "structural_low": 4.94, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.01487, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.005796, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.272727, "worst_return": -0.121045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.037344, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.024219, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.633416, "worst_return": -0.194135, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.059274, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.027695, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.455, "worst_return": -0.232198, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.32583, "energy": 78.932093, "activity_lines": [ 5.390562, 5.65671, 6.322875, 6.550341 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.06, "volume": 47213650, "typical_volume": 83773368.05, "trend": 6.677782, "fair_value": 5.952674, "relative_strength": -24.845943, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.173446, "energy": 79.569879, "activity_lines": [ 5.276637, 5.47901, 6.166001, 6.442871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.19, "volume": 100691150, "typical_volume": 86292673.85, "trend": 6.665449, "fair_value": 5.949359, "relative_strength": -6.208858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.265503, "energy": 43.379751, "activity_lines": [ 5.577962, 5.557129, 6.12608, 6.411401 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.34, "volume": 167986132, "typical_volume": 89743618.6, "trend": 6.658782, "fair_value": 5.948088, "relative_strength": -8.315301, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.15568, "energy": 28.346318, "activity_lines": [ 5.858667, 5.679975, 6.104444, 6.390404 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }