{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aaa66656-64b7-4d39-9c3f-0732a5ac1471", "symbol": "000850", "name": "Anhui Huamao Textile Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.208, "architecture_energy": 28.834, "architecture_maturity": 88.524, "architecture_confidence": 78.356, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.08, "rotation_up": 27.88, "upward_expansion": 22.56, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 26.16, "downward_expansion": 58.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.951164, 3.872862, 3.997458, 4.274935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.04, "trend_reference": 4.719929, "distance_from_trend": -0.144055, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.054122, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.003483, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.318435, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.361769, "excess_performance": -0.369169, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.144055, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067945, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.003483, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124535, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.173184, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059804, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.361769, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.516492, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39009337, "relative_activity": 0.93269, "balance": 0.516492, "dry_up": 1.111611, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071768, "annualized_volatility": 0.347997, "from_high_reference": -0.393393, "from_low_reference": 0.180971 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.719929, "fair_value_reference": 4.054122, "structural_low": 3.420914, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.011268, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": 0.015289, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.135417, "worst_return": -0.123579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.044783, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.041432, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.377049, "worst_return": -0.061281, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.102501, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.067716, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.425265, "worst_return": -0.035445, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 3.664568, "volume": 60088387, "typical_volume": 44586569.05, "trend": 4.878047, "fair_value": 4.042566, "relative_strength": -30.591443, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.054111, "energy": 67.146956, "activity_lines": [ 3.710724, 3.814872, 4.150915, 4.500078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.976447, "volume": 70367501, "typical_volume": 45552126.8, "trend": 4.865929, "fair_value": 4.04555, "relative_strength": -16.755139, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.243152, "energy": 58.007818, "activity_lines": [ 3.799445, 3.819837, 4.101856, 4.44191 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.87, "volume": 44449742, "typical_volume": 43623566.5, "trend": 4.824596, "fair_value": 4.047913, "relative_strength": -18.817204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.706523, "energy": 46.154851, "activity_lines": [ 3.840254, 3.814966, 4.051485, 4.377657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.96, "volume": 32143988, "typical_volume": 42510855.3, "trend": 4.767596, "fair_value": 4.050973, "relative_strength": -15.181603, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.651903, "energy": 41.209718, "activity_lines": [ 3.898396, 3.83446, 4.0174, 4.321877 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.04, "volume": 39009337, "typical_volume": 41824559.35, "trend": 4.719929, "fair_value": 4.054122, "relative_strength": -17.318435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.207629, "energy": 28.834237, "activity_lines": [ 3.951164, 3.872862, 3.997458, 4.274935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }