{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aaaa0000-982c-4728-a7ab-bb89d84d0d01",
    "symbol": "FEP",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST EUROPE ALPHADEX FUND",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 59.976,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.994,
    "architecture_energy": 60.523,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.196,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.071,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.17,
        "rotation_up": 67.76,
        "upward_expansion": 87.53,
        "deceleration": 43.35,
        "rotation_down": 13.2,
        "downward_expansion": 11.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        58.781773,
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        57.902623,
        57.442423
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 60.03,
    "trend_reference": 57.038657,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.052444,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.321435,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.41843,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.484072,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.039361,
    "excess_performance": -0.148093,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052444,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034846,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.41843,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034779,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034841,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02333,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039361,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.852992,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 63106,
      "relative_activity": 0.568267,
      "balance": 0.852992,
      "dry_up": 0.756428,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030067,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.191209,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.252989
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 57.038657,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.321435,
      "structural_low": 49.93,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.008079,
        "positive_rate": 0.542857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.542857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006632,
        "regime_survival": 0.771429,
        "best_return": 0.169503,
        "worst_return": -0.122966,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.769231,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.769231,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05762,
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        "best_return": 0.115326,
        "worst_return": -0.138196,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.044993,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013012,
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        "worst_return": -0.06973,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.235411,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -8.214719,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 57.6233,
        "volume": 104732,
        "typical_volume": 135398.9,
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        "fair_value": 41.806846,
        "relative_strength": -3.722426,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 33.037961,
        "energy": 14.752251,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.585,
        "volume": 72730,
        "typical_volume": 124588.4,
        "trend": 56.716633,
        "fair_value": 41.966215,
        "relative_strength": -2.191261,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.459443,
        "energy": 17.020386,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 59.06,
        "volume": 95437,
        "typical_volume": 116942.5,
        "trend": 56.875006,
        "fair_value": 42.139768,
        "relative_strength": -0.258939,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.16637,
        "energy": 36.91471,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.03,
        "volume": 63106,
        "typical_volume": 111049.95,
        "trend": 57.038657,
        "fair_value": 42.321435,
        "relative_strength": -3.484072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.993626,
        "energy": 60.523227,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}