{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aaabfed5-cb88-408a-b5df-af5094fd5a20", "symbol": "TPLC", "name": "TIMOTHY PLAN TIMOTHY PLAN US LARGE MID CAP CORE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.838, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.554, "architecture_energy": 56.925, "architecture_maturity": 46.439, "architecture_confidence": 70.391, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.3, "rotation_up": 59.39, "upward_expansion": 81.6, "deceleration": 63.02, "rotation_down": 22.74, "downward_expansion": 8.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.617593, 50.395143, 49.731662, 49.160797 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 51.24, "trend_reference": 48.543223, "distance_from_trend": 0.055554, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.677435, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.200634, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.381157, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.063988, "excess_performance": -0.061636, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055554, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032258, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.200634, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036323, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033812, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033373, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.063988, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.842151, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 99132, "relative_activity": 0.646527, "balance": 0.842151, "dry_up": 0.492976, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01877, "annualized_volatility": 0.097303, "from_high_reference": -0.00717, "from_low_reference": 0.17154 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.543223, "fair_value_reference": 42.677435, "structural_low": 45.379011, 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"2026-07-03", "close": 50.544085, "volume": 51441, "typical_volume": 163015.5, "trend": 47.781701, "fair_value": 42.199137, "relative_strength": -1.741478, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.278416, "energy": 81.468065, "activity_lines": [ 50.002993, 49.491648, 48.774448, 48.383989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 50.435255, "volume": 79590, "typical_volume": 164619.3, "trend": 47.937116, "fair_value": 42.295118, "relative_strength": -3.108683, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.051979, "energy": 78.930437, "activity_lines": [ 50.22831, 49.732596, 48.978997, 48.555186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 50.090322, "volume": 76890, "typical_volume": 163215.85, "trend": 48.089297, "fair_value": 42.386211, "relative_strength": -2.120738, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.308714, "energy": 73.08919, "activity_lines": [ 50.238053, 49.878941, 49.142234, 48.694102 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.428957, "volume": 54869, "typical_volume": 160416.65, "trend": 48.24115, "fair_value": 42.479214, "relative_strength": -0.756546, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.269317, "energy": 67.170254, "activity_lines": [ 50.334936, 50.052684, 49.33285, 48.845048 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.290283, "volume": 71461, "typical_volume": 156490.45, "trend": 48.395018, "fair_value": 42.575097, "relative_strength": -1.96719, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.65741, "energy": 51.069834, "activity_lines": [ 50.32352, 50.152106, 49.496183, 48.97725 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.24, "volume": 99132, "typical_volume": 153330.05, "trend": 48.543223, "fair_value": 42.677435, "relative_strength": -3.381157, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.55353, "energy": 56.925363, "activity_lines": [ 50.617593, 50.395143, 49.731662, 49.160797 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }