{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aae60644-22ab-4427-953b-e3f29beb5722", "symbol": "KT", "name": "KT Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.561, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.754, "architecture_energy": 32.84, "architecture_maturity": 66.796, "architecture_confidence": 84.067, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.19, "rotation_up": 27.16, "upward_expansion": 17.24, "deceleration": 46.68, "rotation_down": 33.72, "downward_expansion": 64.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.240667, 18.110182, 18.631143, 19.4021 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 18.5, "trend_reference": 20.213169, "distance_from_trend": -0.084755, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.103617, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.14881, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.217668, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.122961, "excess_performance": -0.248586, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084755, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004765, "read": "Falling" 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17.125, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.012469, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.015425, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.084597, "worst_return": -0.047782, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.06443, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.067891, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.301657, "worst_return": 0.002555, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.056478, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.023603, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.165388, "worst_return": -0.026707, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.56, "volume": 5870849, "typical_volume": 7437607.65, "trend": 20.259419, "fair_value": 15.949882, "relative_strength": -18.501615, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.368669, "energy": 60.563838, "activity_lines": [ 17.752667, 17.942727, 19.028571, 19.761654 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.56, "volume": 6939265, "typical_volume": 7118183.0, "trend": 20.245043, "fair_value": 16.003466, "relative_strength": -12.96627, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.089388, "energy": 50.615872, "activity_lines": [ 17.994667, 18.016909, 18.897, 19.652014 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.09, "volume": 7199044, "typical_volume": 7093205.7, "trend": 20.218637, "fair_value": 16.053759, "relative_strength": -15.623901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.439998, "energy": 40.565749, "activity_lines": [ 18.064, 18.024182, 18.737095, 19.512979 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.5, "volume": 11703373, "typical_volume": 7300013.95, "trend": 20.213169, "fair_value": 16.103617, "relative_strength": -16.217668, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.753987, "energy": 32.83993, "activity_lines": [ 18.240667, 18.110182, 18.631143, 19.4021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }