{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aaeb67c3-3289-4abe-90ac-716b71bdafc8",
    "symbol": "ASRV",
    "name": "AmeriServ Financial Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.117,
    "architecture_energy": 90.288,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.183,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.01,
        "rotation_up": 82.14,
        "upward_expansion": 93.03,
        "deceleration": 44.67,
        "rotation_down": 8.24,
        "downward_expansion": 19.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.483575,
        4.225875,
        4.038296,
        3.943426
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.92,
    "trend_reference": 3.802569,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.293862,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.829909,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.738572,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 25.218284,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.297865,
    "excess_performance": 0.110412,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.293862,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094682,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.738572,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.388771,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.252183,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.285906,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297865,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.366932,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 168491,
      "relative_activity": 2.438912,
      "balance": 7.366932,
      "dry_up": 1.783703,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061508,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.332367,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040936,
      "from_low_reference": 0.802903
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.802569,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.829909,
      "structural_low": 3.374046,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.007326,
        "positive_rate": 0.521739,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.521739,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002276,
        "regime_survival": 0.652174,
        "best_return": 0.180102,
        "worst_return": -0.175711,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.030557,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003403,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.213197,
        "worst_return": -0.274197,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.069541,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020023,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "worst_return": -0.292597,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.035772,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "best_return": 0.301691,
        "worst_return": -0.230853,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 57688.35,
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        "relative_strength": 1.24889,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 54913.45,
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        "fair_value": 2.789242,
        "relative_strength": -1.749168,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 26.659153,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.874893,
        "volume": 39861,
        "typical_volume": 54487.15,
        "trend": 3.662314,
        "fair_value": 2.797804,
        "relative_strength": 4.291495,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.491633,
        "energy": 26.912237,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.856727,
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          3.818553,
          3.771657
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.31206,
        "volume": 151990,
        "typical_volume": 58742.45,
        "trend": 3.702068,
        "fair_value": 2.806681,
        "relative_strength": 17.358186,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.851861,
        "energy": 58.40503,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.00573,
          3.92841,
          3.868343,
          3.813576
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.540579,
        "volume": 132563,
        "typical_volume": 63016.3,
        "trend": 3.745831,
        "fair_value": 2.817079,
        "relative_strength": 22.255198,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.165766,
        "energy": 78.712593,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.202768,
          4.0482,
          3.937037,
          3.867673
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.92,
        "volume": 168491,
        "typical_volume": 69084.5,
        "trend": 3.802569,
        "fair_value": 2.829909,
        "relative_strength": 25.218284,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.117311,
        "energy": 90.287979,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.483575,
          4.225875,
          4.038296,
          3.943426
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}