{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aaec77e4-899e-46c4-a157-c1796d916e31",
    "symbol": "TQCD",
    "name": "TD Q Canadian Dividend ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.743,
    "architecture_energy": 89.851,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.549,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.471,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.06,
        "rotation_up": 82.61,
        "upward_expansion": 97.93,
        "deceleration": 40.4,
        "rotation_down": 13.15,
        "downward_expansion": 19.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.390101,
        29.074009,
        28.602466,
        28.1139
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 29.709999,
    "trend_reference": 27.461822,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081866,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.098298,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.478235,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.940181,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.148312,
    "excess_performance": 0.027891,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081866,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057383,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.478235,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008771,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029402,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009836,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148312,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.574171,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 723300,
      "relative_activity": 1.011439,
      "balance": 1.574171,
      "dry_up": 1.053774,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014658,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.101149,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00168,
      "from_low_reference": 0.401718
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.461822,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.098298,
      "structural_low": 25.34366,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.019282,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004271,
        "regime_survival": 0.866667,
        "best_return": 0.077029,
        "worst_return": -0.072664,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.035657,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011691,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.138414,
        "worst_return": -0.055375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.07801,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019947,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.225425,
        "worst_return": -0.041324,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.151386,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.063553,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.346299,
        "worst_return": 0.013685,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008502,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01234,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.075422,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004789,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "return": 0.021694,
        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 810370.0,
        "trend": 27.015501,
        "fair_value": 19.812875,
        "relative_strength": 4.585286,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.893348,
        "energy": 80.204605,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.359856,
        "volume": 733400,
        "typical_volume": 755040.0,
        "trend": 27.167207,
        "fair_value": 19.90713,
        "relative_strength": 4.896936,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.152397,
        "energy": 84.725864,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.016676,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.285,
        "volume": 716800,
        "typical_volume": 723180.0,
        "trend": 27.315164,
        "fair_value": 20.001798,
        "relative_strength": 4.924483,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.362843,
        "energy": 81.087666,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.165974,
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          27.959394
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.709999,
        "volume": 723300,
        "typical_volume": 715120.0,
        "trend": 27.461822,
        "fair_value": 20.098298,
        "relative_strength": 2.940181,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.743476,
        "energy": 89.851309,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.390101,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}